NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	108		Excitement	6.6 [503]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +21.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	2.2 [1075]		LVP	Kendrick Perkins (OKC): -17.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21	0.26	0.01	0.06	20	73%	0.21	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.07
DeAndre Jordan	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mo Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jamario Moon	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	18	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	12	40%	-0.09	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	11	60%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	4	82%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	22	52%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	73%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	23	51%	0.12	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	11	21%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	31.4	16.3	26.3	2.5	43.6	143.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -7.5%

OKC +26.5%

OKC +18.5%

OKC +6.5%

OKC +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	15.5	111.3	115.5	105.7
season	15.4	15.0		104.4	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.4	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.9	14.3	19.2	11.1	14.1
OKC	15.9	13.4	16.8	16.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	34	34	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-8	12	14.1	14.0	0.10	15.5	15.7	-0.12
Craig Smith	21	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-9	14	14.1	14.1	0.02	14.9	15.8	-0.96
Chris Kaman	64	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-9	14	13.3	15.6	-2.26	16.4	14.0	2.40
Eric Bledsoe	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	3	-10	15.2	13.6	1.60	13.4	16.5	-3.08
DeAndre Jordan	31	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	3	-10	16.3	13.0	3.29	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Mo Williams	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-7	10	13.7	14.8	-1.09	16.5	13.4	3.08
Eric Gordon	87	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-7	10	13.9	15.4	-1.47	16.3	10.2	6.12
Randy Foye	49	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	0	-4	12.9	15.3	-2.48	14.5	16.9	-2.40
Al-Farouq Aminu	25	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	10	-24	16.5	13.2	3.28	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Blake Griffin	78	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	4	-12	13.8	15.2	-1.34	15.7	15.4	0.29

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	3	-2	16.1	13.8	2.28	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Kevin Durant	76	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	4	-4	16.3	13.1	3.15	13.5	16.3	-2.81
James Harden	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-8	20	13.9	17.4	-3.54	14.2	14.0	0.20
Nick Collison	45	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-5	14	14.8	16.3	-1.47	16.0	12.5	3.47
Kendrick Perkins	66	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	6	-8	16.2	14.4	1.75	13.6	15.2	-1.62
Nazr Mohammed	31	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	-1	6	14.4	16.2	-1.75	15.6	13.4	2.15
Serge Ibaka	51	52	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	9	-14	16.5	14.6	1.94	12.7	15.7	-3.04
Thabo Sefolosha	49	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	11	-18	17.1	14.1	3.06	13.6	14.6	-1.03
Daequan Cook	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	0	4	13.1	16.3	-3.15	16.3	13.5	2.81
Eric Maynor	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	1	2	13.8	16.1	-2.28	15.1	13.8	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 76, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CHI 85, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%
UTA 82, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	93.9%