NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	5.7 [720]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (DET): +13.2%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.7 [665]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -24.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.04	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	55%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	15	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	17	41%	-0.05	6	-0.20	3	67%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	6	82%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	9	78%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	16	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	41%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	16	38%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.2	14.8	22.1	2.4	30.5	124.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.6%

DET +8.0%

DET +5.4%

DET +3.1%

WAS -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	14.7	93.9	105.1	107.5
season	14.8	14.9		108.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		106.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.6	14.8	15.3	14.4	15.2
DET	14.0	14.6	13.0	15.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter Jr.	32	31	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-13	15	15.8	15.0	0.84	15.2	13.6	1.58
Jodie Meeks	30	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-14	17	14.5	15.6	-1.07	14.5	14.0	0.55
Ian Mahinmi	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-7	3	16.7	14.9	1.85	12.6	14.5	-1.87
Tomas Satoransky	69	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-9	7	15.1	15.7	-0.58	14.9	12.2	2.70
Markieff Morris	72	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-11	11	15.3	15.0	0.33	15.1	11.7	3.32
Ramon Sessions	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-6	1	14.8	15.5	-0.64	12.9	14.8	-1.86
Mike Scott	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	14.6	15.7	-1.18	12.8	15.2	-2.38
Marcin Gortat	56	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	0	-11	15.2	15.3	-0.11	14.5	13.7	0.79
Kelly Oubre Jr.	66	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.14	-13	2	-15	15.0	15.8	-0.84	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Bradley Beal	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.07	-17	6	-23	15.9	13.5	2.32	13.8	15.0	-1.17

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	77	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-8	27	13.6	16.0	-2.30	15.5	14.2	1.25
Stanley Johnson	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.04	18	-7	25	13.8	15.2	-1.41	15.8	13.6	2.15
Reggie Bullock	58	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	2	7	14.3	13.9	0.41	15.9	14.2	1.65
Anthony Tolliver	63	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	4	3	14.8	12.9	1.91	15.1	15.5	-0.36
Reggie Jackson	57	58	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	5	1	15.5	12.2	3.35	14.4	16.5	-2.08
Ish Smith	41	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	6	-1	12.2	15.5	-3.35	16.5	14.4	2.08
Henry Ellenson	35	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	7	-3	12.9	14.8	-1.91	15.5	15.1	0.36
Luke Kennard	40	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	9	-7	13.9	14.3	-0.41	14.2	15.9	-1.65
James Ennis III	24	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	18	-25	15.2	13.8	1.41	13.6	15.8	-2.15
Eric Moreland	21	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	19	-27	16.0	13.6	2.30	14.2	15.5	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	94.1%
MIL 95, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	94.1%
UTA 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%