NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Excitement	6.1 [358]		MVP	Jim Jackson (POR): +12.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	1.8 [554]		LVP	Joe Smith (MIN): -22.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	11	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	15	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bill Curley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Sealy	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23	-0.19	-0.06	-0.02	19	39%	-0.10	5	-0.13	8	100%	0.03
Joe Smith	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.07	0.01	14	29%	-0.20	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.02	5	67%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	11	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.07
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	13	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	14	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	27.3	15.7	27.5	1.8	34.4	135.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +62.0%

POR +2.9%

MIN -10.8%

MIN -6.4%

POR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.8	88.5	101.0	99.6
season	15.0	16.0		98.6	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.9		96.2	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.2	16.3	15.5	14.1	14.5
POR	16.8	14.4	13.9	17.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	11	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-9	6	10.1	15.0	-4.94	15.6	15.5	0.06
Bobby Jackson	21	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-10	8	15.6	14.2	1.41	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Bill Curley	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-13	14	15.3	14.0	1.31	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Dean Garrett	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-7	2	14.7	14.3	0.42	15.7	15.4	0.32
Anthony Peeler	56	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-7	2	13.3	16.1	-2.80	16.1	14.7	1.41
Malik Sealy	40	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	16.1	13.3	2.80	14.7	16.1	-1.41
Sam Mitchell	42	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	15.9	13.4	2.55	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Kevin Garnett	74	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-6	0	14.0	16.1	-2.16	16.0	14.0	1.99
Stephon Marbury	75	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	14.2	15.6	-1.41	15.7	14.9	0.81
Joe Smith	82	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	3	-18	14.3	15.4	-1.12	15.5	15.8	-0.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	74	72	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	-3	18	15.9	14.4	1.51	14.1	15.5	-1.37
Greg Anthony	44	42	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-1	14	15.7	15.4	0.36	15.0	14.1	0.90
Jim Jackson	44	42	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-1	14	15.7	15.4	0.36	15.0	14.1	0.90
Rasheed Wallace	52	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	9	-6	16.3	14.7	1.61	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Arvydas Sabonis	56	57	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	5	2	15.0	16.3	-1.32	14.6	14.2	0.40
Walt Williams	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	5	2	14.8	16.0	-1.23	16.3	13.3	3.06
Isaiah Rider	68	70	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	9	-6	15.7	15.0	0.70	13.4	17.2	-3.79
Damon Stoudamire	52	54	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	13	-14	15.4	15.7	-0.36	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Kelvin Cato	25	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.18	5	7	-2	15.2	15.6	-0.39	14.5	14.5	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	27	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	17	-22	14.8	15.8	-1.05	14.7	14.4	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.3%
WAS 101, ATL 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
PHX 97, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%