inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 101 Excitement6.7 [494] MVPJosh Smith (ATL): +11.7%
Atlanta Hawks 114 Comeback1.7 [916] LVPAntawn Jamison (WAS): -9.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.000.02661%0.0400.00650%-0.04
Calvin Booth0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andray Blatche-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02250%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.01260%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.01560%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Awvee Storey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Donell Taylor-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01642%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Billy Thomas-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.000.02350%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.080,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.04-0.060.062759%0.158-0.231587%0.03
Antawn Jamison-0.090,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.03-0.043236%-0.061-0.03250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Smith0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.120.120.17-0.000.051378%0.141-0.02667%-0.01
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.040.01673%0.1100.003100%0.01
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.07-0.00667%0.152-0.05683%0.02
Joe Johnson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.011554%0.0220.017100%0.01
Anthony Grundy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.020.00475%0.031-0.0300%0.00
John Edwards00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donta Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.02570%0.124-0.131377%0.00
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.01-0.02945%0.013-0.044100%0.02
Esteban Batista0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00250%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00750%0.022-0.07862%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.12.427.415.731.01.838.0147.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +41.3%
ATL +9.3%
WAS -7.5%
WAS -0.4%
ATL +7.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASATLNBAWASATLNBA
this game16.013.915.6106.3116.3104.4
season15.115.6107.4103.9
opponent15.515.6109.3105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.816.116.514.516.0
ATL12.215.912.315.513.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andray Blatche8110.06-0.560.63-0.023-161910.616.4-5.8216.813.63.27
Awvee Storey1010-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-11919.115.63.5112.114.1-2.03
Etan Thomas3841-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-5-8317.015.31.6912.514.9-2.46
Michael Ruffin5959-0.21-0.290.070.02-8-5-316.814.52.3513.614.5-0.90
Donell Taylor3434-0.22-0.280.05-0.02-7-6-115.216.4-1.2214.913.41.48
Brendan Haywood5352-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.25-1-121116.015.90.1415.412.23.21
Billy Thomas3637-0.28-0.22-0.070.04-11-2-914.516.8-2.3514.013.90.09
Gilbert Arenas8487-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.16-6-7116.114.71.3913.616.7-3.16
Jared Jeffries6164-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.09-141-1515.117.5-2.4013.514.8-1.30
Antawn Jamison9295-0.590.09-0.67-0.12-163-1916.34.312.0014.19.74.39

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia62600.53-0.030.56-0.0319-62512.616.1-3.4716.814.52.33
Joe Johnson82800.440.060.39-0.0316-31913.516.2-2.7916.015.70.27
Josh Childress77750.390.110.280.07112913.914.1-0.2915.517.5-1.95
Al Harrington61570.380.120.270.35112-1115.012.12.9116.115.80.24
Tyronn Lue44430.340.160.170.1085316.012.23.7415.516.4-0.90
Josh Smith61580.270.230.040.0194513.015.4-2.3915.816.2-0.42
Marvin Williams45450.220.28-0.070.0758-313.614.2-0.5116.715.31.35
Anthony Grundy10100.020.48-0.46-0.07310-713.114.0-0.9116.115.90.16
Donta Smith220.000.50-0.500.03-114-1512.513.9-1.456.516.2-9.66
John Edwards55-0.000.50-0.51-0.03112-1114.013.90.0915.616.0-0.38
Royal Ivey1110-0.030.53-0.560.06-316-1912.814.1-1.2416.715.90.83
Esteban Batista3030-0.050.55-0.600.07-417-2115.713.12.5715.316.2-0.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 98, DET 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.99,194.3%
ATL 96, TOR 1040.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,194.2%
DAL 101, MIL 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,194.2%