NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	6.8 [457]		MVP	Damon Jones (DET): +14.1%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.9 [1001]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -19.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	73%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	62%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	5	58%	0.00	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	17	61%	0.02	5	-0.16	12	75%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	10	20%	-0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	20	40%	-0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.03	8	89%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	9	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	13	54%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	73%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	12	55%	-0.00	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.08	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	28.0	15.6	25.6	2.4	35.6	133.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +53.1%

IND -4.4%

IND -14.3%

DET +15.2%

DET +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	14.3	15.6	98.0	104.0	102.3
season	15.3	15.7		101.6	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		99.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	15.2	14.4	14.0	14.4
DET	15.1	15.4	13.3	13.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	11	12	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.00	3	-9	12	12.2	14.7	-2.55	19.8	13.6	6.23
Jeff Foster	59	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.25	2	-8	10	13.7	15.6	-1.92	15.8	12.4	3.35
Jalen Rose	88	88	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-9	12	14.1	17.3	-3.28	14.6	12.6	2.01
Al Harrington	53	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	1	-8	15.0	13.9	1.13	13.2	15.4	-2.21
Jamaal Tinsley	88	88	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-7	8	13.9	18.5	-4.60	14.4	13.9	0.49
Carlos Rogers	29	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-3	0	15.0	14.2	0.73	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Austin Croshere	45	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	1	-8	15.4	13.7	1.73	13.2	15.4	-2.15
Jonathan Bender	48	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	5	-16	15.5	13.5	2.02	12.8	15.9	-3.02
Reggie Miller	79	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	5	-16	14.7	13.6	1.11	14.6	13.3	1.32

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	89	90	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-1	8	14.4	14.2	0.19	14.1	18.0	-3.94
Corliss Williamson	49	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	-3	12	15.3	13.4	1.87	15.8	13.1	2.68
Clifford Robinson	80	83	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	4	-2	14.2	14.9	-0.69	14.1	16.1	-1.94
Damon Jones	41	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	1	4	14.8	14.0	0.77	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Michael Curry	60	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	6	-6	14.2	14.6	-0.37	13.6	15.7	-2.14
Mikki Moore	32	30	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	2	2	13.0	15.0	-1.94	13.2	15.0	-1.74
Jon Barry	49	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	4	-2	14.5	14.2	0.27	15.4	13.5	1.84
Ben Wallace	28	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	0	6	15.4	14.0	1.40	16.1	13.9	2.20
Dana Barros	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	6	-6	14.4	14.3	0.04	14.9	14.1	0.86
Chucky Atkins	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	5	-4	12.8	14.6	-1.73	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Zeljko Rebraca	13	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	12	-18	12.7	14.6	-1.91	14.2	14.5	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, ATL 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
ATL 96, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.1%
NJN 86, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.0%