NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	5.8 [627]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +16.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	2.0 [793]		LVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): -8.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.01	10	83%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	17	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	15	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	57%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	16	47%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.02	15	64%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	61%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.5	28.4	15.4	24.3	2.6	33.5	128.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +11.4%

DAL -0.3%

MIL +18.1%

MIL +17.3%

MIL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	17.2	15.7	114.8	122.5	100.5
season	14.6	15.3		109.2	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	14.6	16.5	14.8	15.3
MIL	18.8	15.4	17.8	17.2	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	1	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-6	4	25.0	15.2	9.80	7.5	17.4	-9.95
Marquis Daniels	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-4	0	14.4	15.4	-1.03	16.1	17.4	-1.32
Travis Best	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-6	4	16.1	15.1	0.99	17.1	17.2	-0.10
Dirk Nowitzki	80	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-9	10	15.3	15.6	-0.35	17.7	13.3	4.42
Steve Nash	67	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	14.9	16.5	-1.60	16.9	18.4	-1.52
Michael Finley	77	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-8	8	15.1	17.0	-1.94	17.8	13.7	4.11
Antawn Jamison	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-4	0	15.0	15.9	-0.89	16.8	18.1	-1.33
Josh Howard	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	15.3	15.3	-0.00	17.9	15.5	2.38
Antoine Walker	66	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.05	-19	11	-30	16.1	12.9	3.20	16.6	19.2	-2.60

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	51	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	1	6	17.0	17.5	-0.53	15.6	14.9	0.69
Toni Kukoc	54	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-1	10	16.5	18.3	-1.75	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Dan Gadzuric	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	1	6	16.3	18.3	-2.01	14.7	16.0	-1.33
Tim Thomas	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	2	4	16.9	17.7	-0.79	15.4	15.1	0.26
Michael Redd	72	71	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	6	-4	17.6	15.6	1.95	14.7	17.8	-3.05
Erick Strickland	18	18	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	-3	14	14.6	17.9	-3.35	16.3	15.1	1.22
Desmond Mason	30	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	11	-14	18.5	16.6	1.87	16.0	15.0	0.98
Joe Smith	42	42	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	7	-6	18.3	16.3	2.01	16.0	14.7	1.33
Brian Skinner	35	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	9	-10	18.3	16.5	1.75	15.3	15.3	0.04
T.J. Ford	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	7	-6	17.5	17.0	0.53	14.9	15.6	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
LAC 81, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ORL 97, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%