NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	85		Excitement	5.7 [663]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +23.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.8 [635]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -21.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	17	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	13	59%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	9	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	10	23%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.05	0.01	16	22%	-0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.01	16	68%	0.27	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	10	67%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.00	0.03	13	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	57%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	59%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.01	-0.02	14	20%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.04	-0.00	10	20%	-0.11	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	23.4	17.3	25.4	2.5	28.2	122.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.4%

LAC +4.5%

LAC +12.1%

SAC -10.7%

LAC +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	13.5	16.7	15.6	88.5	106.3	102.3
season	14.2	15.9		106.6	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.8	16.0	13.7	12.6	13.5
LAC	17.5	14.0	16.3	19.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	11.3	13.7	-2.39	20.5	16.4	4.08
Gerald Wallace	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	11.3	13.7	-2.39	20.5	16.4	4.08
Vlade Divac	64	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-15	14	12.2	16.1	-3.94	17.3	15.3	2.01
Mike Bibby	61	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-9	2	12.5	15.3	-2.86	17.4	15.3	2.10
Hedo Turkoglu	57	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-7	-2	13.9	12.9	0.93	16.1	17.5	-1.47
Peja Stojakovic	66	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-5	-6	13.0	14.6	-1.55	16.6	16.9	-0.36
Lawrence Funderburke	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	15.1	12.5	2.57	15.3	17.5	-2.25
Doug Christie	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-7	-2	13.8	12.8	1.00	16.7	16.7	0.03
Bobby Jackson	46	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-3	-10	14.0	13.0	1.00	16.1	17.2	-1.13
Scot Pollard	64	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	2	-20	14.9	10.7	4.13	16.4	17.2	-0.73

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	67	69	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	0	16	17.7	14.3	3.39	13.1	14.6	-1.57
Jeff McInnis	68	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	3	10	17.8	13.9	3.89	13.0	14.9	-1.95
Corey Maggette	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.19	19	-3	22	16.7	16.6	0.04	14.0	12.7	1.24
Lamar Odom	74	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	12	-8	17.1	15.1	2.03	12.8	15.7	-2.89
Darius Miles	52	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	4	8	15.8	17.8	-2.00	13.7	13.2	0.48
Quentin Richardson	55	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	7	2	16.1	17.5	-1.47	13.9	12.9	0.93
Sean Rooks	16	15	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	10	-4	13.5	17.3	-3.82	18.1	12.6	5.49
Earl Boykins	27	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	13	-10	13.9	17.8	-3.89	14.9	13.0	1.95
Michael Olowokandi	55	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	18	-20	17.2	15.9	1.34	12.6	14.7	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 101, MIL 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,1	94.6%
CLE 109, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
ATL 96, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%