NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	5.7 [691]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +20.9%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	2.1 [592]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (PHX): -8.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.08	-0.03	17	62%	0.23	2	-0.02	14	71%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	13	68%	0.15	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	73%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	11	35%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.02	13	75%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	10	68%	0.17	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.04	-0.05	12	39%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.04	15	51%	0.04	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	35.3	14.8	29.4	1.8	27.2	137.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +7.4%

UTA +4.7%

UTA +32.3%

UTA +4.4%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	15.5	107.8	119.8	106.4
season	14.1	15.3		112.1	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	16.7	17.9	13.2	15.5
UTA	15.3	14.6	17.2	18.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	4	3	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-14	16	11.5	15.7	-4.22	12.3	16.4	-4.09
Boris Diaw	44	43	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.21	9	-21	30	15.4	15.7	-0.33	18.1	14.7	3.38
Lou Amundson	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-9	6	2.0	15.7	-13.69	17.0	16.3	0.72
Steve Nash	58	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-10	8	14.7	17.0	-2.32	17.9	13.4	4.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-11	10	15.5	15.8	-0.30	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Goran Dragic	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-2	-8	17.0	14.7	2.32	13.4	17.9	-4.49
Raja Bell	58	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-7	2	15.0	16.5	-1.55	17.0	14.9	2.10
Grant Hill	43	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	1	-14	16.7	14.4	2.32	14.9	17.6	-2.62
Matt Barnes	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-4	-4	15.5	15.8	-0.29	16.9	13.7	3.20
Shaquille O'Neal	61	62	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	0.06	-29	17	-46	15.9	14.7	1.24	15.0	19.1	-4.14

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	43	43	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-6	24	16.6	16.0	0.65	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Andrei Kirilenko	63	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-2	16	16.0	17.0	-1.08	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Paul Millsap	52	50	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-3	18	15.8	16.9	-1.12	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Brevin Knight	41	40	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	-7	26	14.7	17.6	-2.96	16.4	14.8	1.56
Matt Harpring	20	20	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	2	8	19.1	15.5	3.67	17.1	15.1	2.08
Jarron Collins	24	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	6	0	16.5	16.2	0.23	17.1	15.0	2.09
Carlos Boozer	68	68	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	11	-10	15.6	18.2	-2.53	14.8	17.8	-2.96
Ronnie Brewer	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	12	-12	16.1	16.4	-0.36	16.2	15.1	1.08
Ronnie Price	50	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.31	-7	19	-26	17.6	14.7	2.96	14.8	16.4	-1.56
CJ Miles	48	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	18	-24	16.0	16.6	-0.65	15.7	15.3	0.40
Kosta Koufos	8	9	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.07	-10	22	-32	20.7	15.9	4.89	11.8	16.0	-4.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1	93.9%
CHI 78, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%
MEM 90, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.94,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%