NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	7.1 [406]		MVP	Dahntay Jones (DEN): +12.4%
Denver Nuggets	100		Comeback	2.4 [853]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -19.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	64%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
O.J. Mayo	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.14	-0.06	0.06	21	65%	0.11	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Marc Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	50%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	0.06	5	40%	-0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	17	36%	-0.01	6	-0.19	10	80%	0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	7	73%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	17	55%	0.18	6	-0.13	10	100%	0.06
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	72%	0.15	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.07
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Cheikh Samb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	13	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.04
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	18%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	10	44%	-0.04	3	-0.08	7	29%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.4	32.5	15.7	34.1	1.8	39.2	154.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +23.5%

MEM -2.9%

DEN +26.2%

DEN +3.1%

DEN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	14.0	13.4	15.5	84.9	96.2	106.4
season	16.1	14.4		101.7	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.1	13.5	13.8	14.8	14.0
DEN	14.1	12.6	11.4	15.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	34	32	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.08	12	-22	34	11.5	15.2	-3.67	11.6	14.2	-2.57
Marko Jaric	12	11	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-13	16	12.4	14.2	-1.81	11.6	13.6	-1.98
Greg Buckner	6	6	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-13	16	10.8	14.2	-3.38	11.5	13.5	-2.02
Darko Milicic	20	19	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-13	16	12.5	14.4	-1.87	12.9	13.5	-0.56
Javaris Crittenton	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	10.7	14.1	-3.45	15.0	13.4	1.64
Darrell Arthur	61	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	14.4	13.5	0.92	13.5	13.3	0.23
Mike Conley	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	0	-10	15.5	13.1	2.46	14.4	12.7	1.70
Kyle Lowry	66	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-10	10	13.1	15.5	-2.46	12.7	14.4	-1.70
Hakim Warrick	47	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	13.5	14.4	-0.95	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Marc Gasol	84	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	3	-16	14.4	12.6	1.80	13.7	12.3	1.30
O.J. Mayo	76	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.16	-16	6	-22	14.5	12.7	1.84	13.9	11.9	2.05
Rudy Gay	81	79	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.11	-22	12	-34	15.2	10.3	4.89	13.9	11.7	2.22

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	83	84	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.04	28	-18	46	13.8	11.9	1.88	15.0	10.1	4.90
Nene	78	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-9	28	14.2	11.1	3.05	15.3	10.3	5.04
Renaldo Balkman	55	57	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	4	2	13.7	13.1	0.61	13.5	14.6	-1.10
Carmelo Anthony	80	81	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	3	4	13.5	12.9	0.63	14.3	13.0	1.28
Linas Kleiza	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	1	8	13.1	13.9	-0.75	14.5	13.3	1.14
Dahntay Jones	46	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-1	12	13.7	13.1	0.60	15.1	13.1	1.99
Anthony Carter	47	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	16	-22	13.6	13.2	0.35	12.6	15.2	-2.62
Cheikh Samb	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	15.0	13.4	1.64	10.7	14.1	-3.45
Chris Andersen	28	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.14	-9	19	-28	10.9	14.3	-3.39	10.5	15.4	-4.87
J.R. Smith	35	36	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.17	-15	25	-40	11.7	14.3	-2.59	11.7	15.2	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.94,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
POR 93, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	93.0%
SAS 82, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.9%