NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	6.2 [593]		MVP	Nick Young (LAL): +11.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	1.9 [668]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -26.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jahlil Okafor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.04	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	11	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
TJ McConnell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.11	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Canaan	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	11	29%	-0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Nik Stauskas	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.06	0.02	9	22%	-0.11	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.23	-0.05	-0.06	19	21%	-0.15	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.05	0.10	-0.07	11	36%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	10	62%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	15	57%	0.09	4	-0.06	12	83%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	17	44%	0.00	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.20	-0.07	-0.01	14	21%	-0.14	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	29.9	15.0	27.0	1.7	32.2	134.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.4%

LAL +5.8%

PHI -0.2%

LAL +19.6%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	15.2	14.9	85.7	94.9	105.1
season	14.8	15.2		97.7	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.2		109.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	14.5	17.2	11.9	14.2
LAL	16.8	13.7	15.5	14.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	17	16	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-14	19	16.6	13.7	2.96	14.1	15.4	-1.27
JaKarr Sampson	38	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-7	5	14.9	13.7	1.17	15.2	15.2	0.08
Jerami Grant	64	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-7	5	12.8	16.9	-4.06	15.8	14.1	1.68
Nerlens Noel	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-8	7	12.9	16.0	-3.14	15.8	14.4	1.41
TJ McConnell	47	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	14.9	13.6	1.32	13.8	16.4	-2.64
Ish Smith	51	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-7	5	13.6	14.9	-1.32	16.4	13.8	2.64
Robert Covington	48	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-8	7	14.0	14.4	-0.36	15.1	15.2	-0.10
Nik Stauskas	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-6	3	13.7	14.9	-1.19	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Jahlil Okafor	47	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	2	-13	16.3	12.3	3.94	14.2	16.1	-1.91
Isaiah Canaan	63	63	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.06	-21	12	-33	14.8	13.1	1.65	15.2	15.1	0.11

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	77	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	2	5	14.8	16.6	-1.77	13.8	15.9	-2.13
Brandon Bass	52	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	4	1	14.9	15.5	-0.68	14.1	14.3	-0.24
D'Angelo Russell	53	52	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-2	13	14.2	16.3	-2.04	15.8	12.4	3.33
Nick Young	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	8	-7	14.2	16.4	-2.16	14.0	14.5	-0.55
Julius Randle	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	0	9	14.3	16.0	-1.71	15.7	12.8	2.96
Anthony Brown	43	43	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	1	7	16.4	14.2	2.16	14.5	14.0	0.55
Larry Nance Jr.	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	9	-9	16.0	14.3	1.71	12.8	15.7	-2.96
Jordan Clarkson	66	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	9	-9	16.4	12.7	3.66	13.5	15.7	-2.20
Roy Hibbert	46	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	5	-1	15.5	14.9	0.68	14.3	14.1	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 82, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.7%
DAL 94, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
MIA 75, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%