NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	4.3 [592]		MVP	Antonio Davis (IND): +12.0%
Indiana Pacers	83		Comeback	1.2 [68]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -10.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	10	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	9	78%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	10	33%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	14	47%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	13	71%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	60%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	16	33%	-0.09	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	24.0	15.7	27.2	1.8	22.6	116.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.0%

IND -12.3%

GSW +6.8%

GSW +11.7%

GSW +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	17.0	15.8	117.2	95.4	99.6
season	15.9	16.4		95.1	105.4
opponent	16.0	15.5		101.2	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	15.9	13.8	20.6	16.1
IND	15.9	16.9	18.1	17.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.11	23	-4	27	15.4	19.1	-3.70	17.1	16.6	0.53
Chris Mills	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.16	22	-3	25	16.3	15.0	1.33	17.2	16.4	0.77
Tony Delk	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	9	1	14.3	18.5	-4.19	17.0	17.0	0.01
Terry Cummings	33	32	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	13	-7	14.9	16.8	-1.87	18.1	16.4	1.63
Donyell Marshall	20	23	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	7	5	16.5	15.9	0.56	16.7	17.2	-0.52
Erick Dampier	54	55	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.14	13	6	7	16.8	14.9	1.87	16.4	18.1	-1.63
Jason Caffey	66	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	12	-5	16.2	15.7	0.47	17.2	16.7	0.52
Bimbo Coles	36	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	10	-1	18.5	14.3	4.19	17.0	17.0	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	19	-19	0.0	16.3	-16.26	0.0	17.0	-17.03
Antawn Jamison	32	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	26	-33	16.9	15.6	1.37	16.5	17.3	-0.85

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-11	3	16.4	17.2	-0.86	20.2	14.8	5.43
Austin Croshere	16	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-14	9	16.1	17.3	-1.19	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Dale Davis	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-13	7	16.4	18.1	-1.73	15.8	16.5	-0.76
Jalen Rose	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-17	15	17.1	17.0	0.04	15.6	16.4	-0.74
Sam Perkins	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-14	9	18.2	16.5	1.69	16.8	15.8	1.08
Chris Mullin	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-12	5	17.1	17.0	0.08	14.9	17.0	-2.13
Mark Jackson	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-10	1	17.0	17.1	-0.11	14.4	17.5	-3.09
Rik Smits	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-11	3	17.3	16.8	0.50	15.4	16.6	-1.24
Travis Best	48	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-9	-1	17.1	17.0	0.11	17.5	14.4	3.09
Reggie Miller	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	-3	-13	17.4	15.8	1.68	15.8	16.8	-0.91
Antonio Davis	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	0	-19	16.9	17.2	-0.25	16.5	15.3	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 108, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
POR 102, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0,0,0	95.7%
UTA 102, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%