NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	5.0 [787]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +8.2%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	1.2 [249]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -17.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	12	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	14	68%	0.14	4	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Rick Brunson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	14	59%	0.08	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	68%	0.07	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	14	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.06
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.04	-0.05	8	19%	-0.10	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	21	44%	-0.14	1	-0.03	13	77%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.6	1.8	28.2	15.4	29.3	1.7	34.5	148.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.6%

POR +18.7%

POR +14.0%

UTA -6.7%

POR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.6	108.5	93.8	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		101.9	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		102.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	15.6	16.8	14.4	15.7
UTA	13.1	17.0	15.3	12.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-1	13	14.8	19.6	-4.87	14.4	14.6	-0.27
Rasheed Wallace	82	85	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	2	7	15.9	14.7	1.14	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Isaiah Rider	60	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	2	7	15.3	16.4	-1.09	14.9	13.5	1.39
Arvydas Sabonis	66	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.14	5	6	-1	15.4	16.5	-1.02	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Brian Grant	58	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	1	9	15.4	16.3	-0.91	14.5	14.3	0.26
Stacey Augmon	39	38	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	6	-1	16.7	15.1	1.66	14.9	14.1	0.85
Kelvin Cato	27	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	9	-7	14.9	16.1	-1.20	14.8	14.3	0.56
Alvin Williams	34	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	9	-7	16.4	15.3	1.09	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Gary Trent	10	11	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	9	-7	17.1	15.6	1.52	14.8	14.4	0.43
Rick Brunson	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	12	-13	19.6	14.8	4.87	14.6	14.4	0.27

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	21	20	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-15	19	14.4	14.4	-0.01	17.6	15.2	2.36
Greg Foster	11	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-11	11	17.7	14.0	3.72	17.6	15.5	2.14
Howard Eisley	25	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	15.8	14.0	1.79	16.6	15.5	1.14
Greg Ostertag	44	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-14	17	14.4	14.5	-0.13	16.1	15.5	0.59
Antoine Carr	43	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-6	1	15.0	14.0	1.02	16.5	15.1	1.40
Bryon Russell	51	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-5	-1	15.4	13.4	1.98	15.9	15.6	0.23
Adam Keefe	59	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	3	-17	13.7	15.5	-1.80	14.8	17.3	-2.41
John Stockton	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	1	-13	14.0	15.8	-1.79	15.5	16.6	-1.14
Karl Malone	86	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	0	-11	14.0	17.7	-3.72	15.5	17.6	-2.14
Jeff Hornacek	73	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	4	-19	14.1	15.6	-1.53	15.2	17.3	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIA 107, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.2,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MIN 92, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.07,0,0	94.7%