NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	4.2 [952]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +16.6%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.4 [1132]		LVP	Rafer Alston (NJN): -11.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.03	14	74%	0.18	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	12	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.03	18	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.05	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Sean Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	9	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	28.3	15.7	26.1	2.4	30.6	130.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.9%

UTA +1.9%

UTA +2.1%

NJN -1.0%

UTA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	17.3	15.3	120.0	103.4	106.0
season	15.3	15.9		109.5	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.3	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	14.3	14.3	14.8	14.8
NJN	16.0	19.0	18.5	15.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.14	23	-7	30	15.3	13.6	1.73	18.3	15.0	3.37
Carlos Boozer	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	-3	22	14.7	15.2	-0.44	17.7	16.4	1.37
Ronnie Brewer	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.14	17	-1	18	14.9	14.8	0.04	18.6	15.6	3.00
Mehmet Okur	45	45	0.23	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	7	2	15.3	14.4	0.93	18.4	16.3	2.08
Paul Millsap	46	44	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	13	-10	14.6	15.1	-0.48	15.4	19.3	-3.88
Andrei Kirilenko	48	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	6	4	14.9	14.8	0.11	16.5	18.3	-1.73
Kyle Korver	24	22	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	13	-10	14.0	15.1	-1.09	15.3	18.0	-2.70
Kyrylo Fesenko	24	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	15	-14	14.7	14.9	-0.13	18.0	17.1	0.85
Wesley Matthews	36	36	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	12	-8	15.2	14.6	0.63	18.4	16.7	1.70
CJ Miles	17	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	15	-14	15.2	14.8	0.41	17.3	17.4	-0.09
Ronnie Price	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	14.0	14.9	-0.88	13.0	17.6	-4.55
Eric Maynor	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	23	-30	13.6	15.3	-1.73	15.0	18.3	-3.37

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	13.0	17.6	-4.55	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Terrence Williams	41	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-18	20	14.9	19.4	-4.49	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Eduardo Najera	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-15	14	15.9	18.2	-2.25	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Bobby Simmons	17	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-15	14	19.1	16.9	2.19	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Josh Boone	51	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-16	16	17.2	17.6	-0.36	15.6	13.8	1.81
Rafer Alston	47	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-12	8	15.4	19.5	-4.12	14.0	15.8	-1.72
Trenton Hassell	59	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	-2	-12	18.4	15.2	3.24	14.9	14.7	0.28
Devin Harris	58	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	5	-26	18.9	14.5	4.40	15.1	14.4	0.70
Courtney Lee	68	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	2	-20	17.7	16.1	1.64	15.3	13.3	1.92
Brook Lopez	68	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.18	-26	10	-36	18.1	14.9	3.26	15.2	13.8	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
NJN 94, TOR 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SAS 106, CHA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%