inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 106 Excitement3.8 [1077] MVPKyle Anderson (SAS): +9.4%
Charlotte Hornets 86 Comeback1.4 [737] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (CHA): -14.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Anderson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.01-0.01878%0.092-0.002100%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.011355%0.0700.005100%0.01
Patty Mills0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.01577%0.091-0.02367%-0.00
Manu Ginobili0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00861%0.0600.002100%0.01
Pau Gasol0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.021450%0.081-0.03683%0.01
Rudy Gay0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.021065%0.062-0.023100%0.01
Danny Green0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.04750%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Paul0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Davis Bertans-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.000.02250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.01460%-0.012-0.022100%0.00
Bryn Forbes-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.02828%-0.0800.00250%-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.011055%0.0300.002100%0.00
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00344%0.0100.00367%-0.00
Treveon Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01337%0.0000.00250%0.00
Johnny O'Bryant III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwayne Bacon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05580%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.010.051269%0.063-0.06250%-0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00437%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.01-0.02818%-0.0400.001100%0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011037%-0.021-0.03757%-0.02
Nicolas Batum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00729%-0.0600.003100%0.01
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.001146%-0.023-0.054100%0.01
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.16-0.02-0.04517%-0.055-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.326.713.833.42.331.3133.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +47.9%
SAS +0.8%
CHA -13.5%
SAS +14.6%
SAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCHANBASASCHANBA
this game16.114.614.7112.892.5107.5
season15.514.6106.7108.7
opponent14.514.5108.5104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.316.816.214.516.1
CHA14.018.413.113.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge65650.54-0.040.58-0.052002016.315.90.4115.213.31.89
Kyle Anderson60600.480.020.47-0.102002016.914.91.9815.113.71.42
Rudy Gay47450.400.100.29-0.131821615.217.1-1.8715.014.40.60
Danny Green59580.290.210.080.03911-216.216.10.1515.313.61.72
Dejounte Murray49470.270.230.040.21218-1615.516.9-1.3812.816.5-3.76
Manu Ginobili39370.270.230.030.03812-416.216.10.1414.614.7-0.08
Patty Mills44460.230.27-0.05-0.301821616.915.51.3416.512.83.76
Davis Bertans13130.040.46-0.42-0.11515-1016.016.2-0.1716.714.32.38
Pau Gasol48470.020.48-0.450.05-121-2217.414.82.5513.915.4-1.56
Brandon Paul670.000.50-0.50-0.09317-1413.016.4-3.3614.414.7-0.23
Joffrey Lauvergne670.000.50-0.50-0.09317-1413.016.4-3.3614.414.7-0.23
Bryn Forbes3433-0.040.54-0.570.11-525-3015.216.7-1.5211.516.4-4.90

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwayne Bacon21220.05-0.550.590.08-1-191814.014.8-0.7715.516.3-0.79
Treveon Graham77-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-171414.414.7-0.2312.416.4-4.02
Johnny O'Bryant III77-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-171414.414.7-0.2312.416.4-4.02
Malik Monk3736-0.05-0.450.410.04-3-171413.015.7-2.7814.717.1-2.36
Cody Zeller4545-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-2-181613.615.6-1.9416.416.00.40
Marvin Williams3232-0.16-0.340.170.04-7-13615.114.40.6817.915.32.62
Michael Carter-Williams3235-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-12414.114.9-0.7915.816.4-0.60
Jeremy Lamb4849-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.02-9-11214.614.7-0.1716.116.2-0.06
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist3939-0.30-0.20-0.090.06-12-8-415.514.11.4117.415.22.20
Kemba Walker6159-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-12-8-414.914.10.7916.415.80.60
Frank Kaminsky5455-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.04-10-10014.415.0-0.5715.616.9-1.28
Dwight Howard4142-0.42-0.08-0.350.02-15-5-1015.813.72.0316.515.80.72
Nicolas Batum4142-0.42-0.08-0.350.02-15-5-1015.813.72.0316.515.80.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 104, NYK 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
PHX 121, POR 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
MIN 108, SAS 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,095.9%