NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	3.6 [1090]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (GSW): +7.7%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	1.7 [326]		LVP	Frank Williams (NYK): -9.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.05	16	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	59%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	68%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	6	43%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	7	70%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	55%	-0.02	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	15	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	41%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	8	31%	-0.02	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	26.8	1.0	26.5	2.3	26.4	112.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.2%

NYK -7.5%

NYK -9.1%

GSW +18.4%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	16.1	15.7	109.5	91.5	100.5
season	16.1	15.5		100.8	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.3		100.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	15.2	12.7	17.3	14.4
NYK	14.8	18.4	18.1	13.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	58	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	2	14	15.0	13.6	1.37	15.8	16.5	-0.76
Speedy Claxton	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	5	8	15.5	13.1	2.31	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Mike Dunleavy	51	50	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	8	2	13.9	15.0	-1.06	16.6	15.5	1.13
Mickael Pietrus	33	34	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	10	-2	15.3	14.0	1.38	15.1	16.6	-1.51
Brian Cardinal	50	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	4	10	15.3	13.4	1.88	16.5	15.6	0.87
Jason Richardson	70	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	2	14	14.2	15.0	-0.77	16.8	14.1	2.69
Erick Dampier	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	11	-4	12.7	15.8	-3.08	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Nick Van Exel	49	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	14	-10	13.4	15.5	-2.16	16.4	15.7	0.74
Clifford Robinson	64	63	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	15	-12	13.9	15.5	-1.51	16.0	16.1	-0.11
Cherokee Parks	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	21.4	14.0	7.36	11.2	16.4	-5.22

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-15	12	15.4	16.2	-0.82	12.2	15.0	-2.79
Howard Eisley	60	60	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.02	-3	-15	12	15.5	17.0	-1.44	14.6	14.1	0.55
Antonio McDyess	56	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-12	6	16.2	15.8	0.35	14.4	14.5	-0.13
Dikembe Mutombo	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-15	12	15.1	17.1	-2.03	15.8	13.0	2.73
Allan Houston	75	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-6	-6	16.1	15.7	0.46	14.2	15.3	-1.04
Keith Van Horn	61	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	-5	-8	15.6	17.0	-1.41	14.5	14.3	0.18
Frank Williams	33	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-6	-6	15.2	16.5	-1.25	14.3	14.5	-0.23
Charlie Ward	27	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-7	-4	17.3	15.6	1.69	15.4	14.0	1.36
Kurt Thomas	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-4	-10	17.0	15.0	2.03	13.7	15.3	-1.57
Shandon Anderson	40	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	-5	-8	17.4	15.1	2.30	14.3	14.5	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, CHA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
TOR 104, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
LAL 101, SEA 77	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%