NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	3.3 [1149]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +17.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	1.8 [514]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -7.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.01	14	84%	0.24	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Joey Graham	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	6	78%	0.12	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Anthony Parker	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	11	74%	0.11	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.01	0.03	9	65%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jorge Garbajosa	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	5	42%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	14	46%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	62%	0.00	4	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	76%	0.11	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.03	11	48%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	4	22%	-0.00	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	29.5	15.0	27.0	2.4	29.7	128.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.3%

TOR +7.6%

PHI -0.7%

TOR +13.4%

TOR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.4	111.8	92.5	104.5
season	15.2	15.5		104.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.2	18.0	14.2	16.8	16.5
PHI	14.1	16.3	16.5	11.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	60	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.24	27	-9	36	16.0	17.4	-1.46	15.8	12.0	3.79
Joey Graham	51	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.20	21	-3	24	16.1	16.9	-0.81	15.7	12.9	2.83
Rasho Nesterovic	40	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	4	10	16.8	16.2	0.60	16.0	13.3	2.62
Jose Calderon	43	42	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	11	-4	16.4	16.5	-0.08	13.3	15.4	-2.10
Anthony Parker	69	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	3	12	16.2	17.4	-1.26	14.7	13.9	0.81
Morris Peterson	24	22	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	14	-10	17.5	16.1	1.31	13.3	14.8	-1.53
T.J. Ford	54	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.28	16	2	14	16.3	16.7	-0.36	15.6	12.9	2.69
Andrea Bargnani	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	14	-10	16.2	16.8	-0.53	13.6	15.6	-1.98
Jorge Garbajosa	34	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.32	-8	26	-34	16.3	16.6	-0.25	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Kris Humphries	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	16	-14	16.9	16.4	0.51	11.9	14.9	-3.01
Darrick Martin	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	18.2	16.3	1.92	9.2	15.0	-5.83
Fred Jones	16	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.21	-9	27	-36	19.1	15.9	3.11	12.0	14.9	-2.92

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	22	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-21	24	14.3	14.5	-0.22	15.6	16.7	-1.11
Kevin Ollie	28	27	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-20	22	14.9	14.3	0.64	16.3	16.5	-0.21
Rodney Carney	30	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-21	24	12.3	15.5	-3.17	17.9	15.8	2.13
Lou Williams	26	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-24	30	11.6	15.6	-4.04	16.8	16.4	0.45
Bobby Jones	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-20	22	12.3	15.7	-3.43	15.7	16.9	-1.17
Steven Hunter	28	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-11	4	13.8	14.8	-0.95	17.2	16.2	0.93
Willie Green	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.17	-16	-2	-14	15.7	12.6	3.15	16.3	16.8	-0.45
Joe Smith	29	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-9	0	15.0	14.2	0.80	16.4	16.5	-0.15
Samuel Dalembert	43	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	-4	-10	15.0	14.0	0.96	16.5	16.5	0.05
Andre Miller	50	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	0	-18	15.8	13.0	2.76	16.6	16.3	0.34
Andre Iguodala	56	56	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	1	-20	15.6	12.8	2.78	16.9	15.9	1.03
Kyle Korver	63	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.17	-23	5	-28	14.3	14.8	-0.52	15.8	17.9	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DEN 111, BKN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIA 114, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%