NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	111		Excitement	3.8 [1053]		MVP	Randy Foye (DEN): +7.2%
Brooklyn Nets	87		Comeback	1.9 [771]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): -5.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04
Darrell Arthur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	5	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	9	74%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.01	0.09	11	68%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	41%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	8	57%	0.06	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Wilson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	15	63%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Tornike Shengelia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	6	57%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	37%	-0.02	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.0	33.0	15.4	26.6	2.6	29.2	136.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +31.6%

BKN -5.7%

DEN +24.4%

DEN +0.1%

BKN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BKN	NBA	DEN	BKN	NBA
this game	14.9	16.6	15.1	122.0	94.6	105.2
season	14.0	15.7		104.5	105.1
opponent	15.5	14.9		106.7	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.2	16.2	15.0	14.2	14.9
BKN	15.2	17.2	17.0	17.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	46	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	14	-4	16.2	13.5	2.66	16.0	17.2	-1.26
Jordan Hamilton	31	32	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	6	12	15.0	14.8	0.27	16.8	16.5	0.36
Wilson Chandler	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	14	-4	15.4	14.2	1.20	16.4	16.9	-0.46
Ty Lawson	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	15	-6	15.2	14.4	0.73	16.1	17.2	-1.10
Timofey Mozgov	59	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.26	18	6	12	14.3	15.8	-1.52	17.1	15.8	1.33
Randy Foye	40	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	17	-10	15.8	14.1	1.64	15.8	17.2	-1.48
Andre Miller	42	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.21	15	9	6	14.2	15.4	-1.28	17.0	16.3	0.63
Nate Robinson	36	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.30	18	6	12	14.9	14.8	0.10	17.9	15.7	2.15
Darrell Arthur	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.26	15	9	6	13.8	15.4	-1.66	17.2	16.3	0.89
JJ Hickson	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	20	-16	15.9	14.4	1.51	15.9	17.0	-1.05
Anthony Randolph	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	12.8	15.2	-2.35	17.4	16.5	0.88
Quincy Miller	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	12.2	15.3	-3.00	16.3	16.7	-0.35
Evan Fournier	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	12.8	15.2	-2.35	16.3	16.7	-0.35

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	36	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.17	-8	-16	8	16.4	16.7	-0.32	13.6	15.7	-2.17
Brook Lopez	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-23	22	15.6	17.4	-1.80	14.9	14.9	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-19	14	15.9	17.0	-1.13	16.9	13.8	3.11
Mirza Teletovic	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-15	6	17.5	16.2	1.24	13.1	15.6	-2.54
Tornike Shengelia	31	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-17	10	18.4	15.7	2.63	16.0	14.3	1.75
Mason Plumlee	37	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.20	-13	-11	-2	16.0	17.0	-1.02	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Reggie Evans	27	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-16	8	18.7	15.7	2.97	13.8	15.3	-1.42
Alan Anderson	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-14	4	15.7	18.0	-2.29	15.9	13.0	2.96
Andray Blatche	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.27	-22	-2	-20	17.4	15.9	1.46	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Joe Johnson	60	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-7	-10	16.5	16.8	-0.36	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Tyshawn Taylor	67	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-4	-16	16.4	17.3	-0.92	15.2	14.1	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CLE 115, OKC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
TOR 103, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.3%