NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	6.2 [344]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +25.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	93		Comeback	2.2 [80]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -36.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.12	-0.01	13	74%	0.29	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	13	62%	0.13	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
George McCloud	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Toby Bailey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	10	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Danny Manning	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	0.01	0.04	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	11	68%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	15	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	-0.02	4	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.37	-0.37	-0.28	-0.12	-0.03	16	26%	-0.18	8	-0.19	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	56.1	1.6	26.2	14.8	25.1	0.2	38.2	162.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.2%

PHX +7.3%

SEA -27.1%

PHX +14.5%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.8	113.5	104.5	99.6
season	15.3	15.4		102.7	102.4
opponent	15.9	15.9		103.5	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	16.8	17.6	16.7	16.2
SEA	16.8	16.7	16.7	14.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	54	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-10	28	16.2	16.0	0.21	16.2	16.2	0.06
Jason Kidd	76	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	4	0	15.8	18.2	-2.43	16.5	14.2	2.26
Rex Chapman	67	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	4	0	16.0	16.8	-0.82	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Tom Gugliotta	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	8	-8	15.7	17.5	-1.79	16.2	16.3	-0.17
George McCloud	59	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	4	0	15.5	17.5	-1.98	16.8	14.9	1.94
Clifford Robinson	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	10	-12	17.2	14.3	2.86	15.8	16.9	-1.03
Toby Bailey	22	21	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	4	0	16.8	16.0	0.82	16.7	16.0	0.67
Joe Kleine	11	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	7	-6	14.2	16.4	-2.25	19.7	15.6	4.10
Gerald Brown	13	12	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	4	0	18.2	15.8	2.43	14.2	16.5	-2.26
Chris Morris	17	16	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	5	-2	17.8	15.8	1.99	12.6	17.0	-4.44

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	13.2	16.8	-3.60	18.1	15.8	2.30
Olden Polynice	33	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	16.3	16.1	0.21	14.9	17.0	-2.10
Vin Baker	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	17.8	12.6	5.23	15.9	16.9	-1.00
Dale Ellis	46	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	15.1	17.4	-2.31	16.8	15.5	1.26
Gary Payton	77	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-4	0	16.5	14.2	2.26	15.8	18.2	-2.43
Detlef Schrempf	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-4	0	16.1	16.5	-0.45	16.8	14.0	2.76
Hersey Hawkins	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	1	-10	16.3	15.6	0.70	16.4	15.1	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
CLE 93, ATL 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.8%
HOU 124, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%