NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	124		Excitement	5.4 [776]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +27.9%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	2.4 [264]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -16.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.11	-0.02	19	79%	0.36	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.05	0.02	19	74%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Wesley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.02	16	62%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	69%	0.09	2	-0.07	13	77%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Barrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	18	70%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	15	63%	0.12	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	15	62%	0.15	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	0.10	14	45%	-0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	3.5	34.5	18.7	25.2	3.6	30.6	139.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +62.0%

DAL -11.0%

HOU +7.2%

DAL -7.2%

DAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.5	129.2	120.0	104.0
season	16.0	14.9		104.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.7	14.9	14.8	15.1	14.6
DAL	15.6	18.7	14.5	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	91	90	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-6	22	14.4	19.2	-4.83	15.6	14.4	1.20
Juwan Howard	76	75	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-5	20	14.3	15.7	-1.36	14.7	18.6	-3.88
David Wesley	88	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.23	10	0	10	14.7	13.7	0.95	15.1	20.4	-5.28
Yao Ming	67	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	4	2	14.9	14.1	0.75	14.9	16.8	-1.89
Jon Barry	45	43	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	11	-12	14.8	14.5	0.29	14.9	16.0	-1.11
Ryan Bowen	15	16	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	4	2	14.9	14.6	0.29	18.4	15.0	3.41
Bob Sura	55	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	5	0	15.1	14.0	1.09	16.0	14.9	1.08
Dikembe Mutombo	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	11	-12	14.5	14.6	-0.10	16.5	15.2	1.25
Reece Gaines	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	5.0	14.7	-9.73	11.0	15.6	-4.59
Andre Barrett	8	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	10	-10	13.7	14.7	-0.95	20.4	15.1	5.28
Maurice Taylor	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	16	-22	15.0	14.6	0.43	18.3	15.1	3.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	4	4	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-13	16	19.7	15.4	4.40	7.7	14.9	-7.17
Shawn Bradley	41	42	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-12	14	15.3	15.7	-0.43	15.3	14.1	1.26
Calvin Booth	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-12	14	9.0	16.0	-6.98	9.7	15.0	-5.29
Darrell Armstrong	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-6	2	15.1	15.9	-0.83	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Devin Harris	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-6	2	17.0	15.0	2.04	13.6	15.0	-1.44
Jason Terry	85	85	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-5	0	15.7	14.3	1.38	14.9	12.3	2.66
Jerry Stackhouse	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-10	10	15.3	16.0	-0.68	14.9	14.1	0.73
Erick Dampier	38	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	5	-20	15.3	15.7	-0.32	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	88	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	0	-10	15.8	12.3	3.51	14.8	12.2	2.59
Michael Finley	77	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.11	-19	9	-28	15.5	15.5	0.05	14.7	14.3	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 117, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIL 90, PHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
UTA 117, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.0%