inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 86 Excitement5.4 [445] MVPDee Brown (TOR): +15.2%
Atlanta Hawks 77 Comeback1.9 [55] LVPSteven Smith (ATL): -18.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dee Brown0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.050.06-0.031167%0.192-0.042100%0.01
Charles Oakley0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.02-0.00-0.031354%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Vince Carter0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.021544%0.0300.002100%0.01
Alvin Williams-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.00940%-0.0000.00250%-0.03
Doug Christie-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01955%0.033-0.042100%0.01
Michael Stewart-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Wallace-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02947%-0.002-0.031100%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.110,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.021127%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.00-0.021525%-0.091-0.03250%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alan Henderson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.02-0.011164%0.113-0.07667%-0.00
Mookie Blaylock0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.05-0.031055%0.124-0.0800%0.00
Chris Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyrone Corbin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.03-0.01558%-0.011-0.012100%0.01
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.001100%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.00839%-0.041-0.04250%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.050.00140%-0.063-0.11825%-0.08
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.06-0.011344%-0.064-0.12862%-0.03
Steven Smith0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.14-0.020.021441%-0.105-0.094100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.327.616.626.12.323.7124.4
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +11.9%
TOR +3.8%
TOR +7.0%
TOR +32.5%
ATL -5.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORATLNBATORATLNBA
this game16.715.715.896.686.599.6
season15.616.799.097.2
opponent16.315.994.9101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.214.817.618.516.7
ATL16.515.216.714.315.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter64650.61-0.110.720.2014-51916.018.4-2.3716.114.51.65
Kevin Willis47500.350.150.21-0.0614-51918.514.63.8917.413.43.96
Dee Brown58570.330.170.150.1854116.616.8-0.1715.216.5-1.36
John Wallace26280.330.170.150.0011-21317.716.31.3516.015.50.54
Tracy McGrady42430.240.26-0.020.0372517.815.72.0616.215.21.01
Charles Oakley68660.210.29-0.080.24-110-1116.417.6-1.1415.217.0-1.86
Alvin Williams35350.160.34-0.170.22-211-1316.716.70.0815.515.7-0.20
Doug Christie72700.150.35-0.200.24-312-1516.716.9-0.2314.918.4-3.44
Michael Stewart33310.120.38-0.260.1209-913.918.3-4.3814.616.2-1.66

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrone Corbin3436-0.12-0.380.27-0.182-111315.016.1-1.0718.415.52.84
Anthony Johnson2424-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-1-8714.916.0-1.0816.516.8-0.33
Grant Long5151-0.18-0.320.13-0.242-111315.915.30.6117.415.71.72
Chris Crawford89-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-1-716.715.61.1916.416.7-0.28
LaPhonso Ellis5957-0.23-0.270.04-0.06-6-3-316.414.22.2116.716.7-0.03
Alan Henderson6664-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-112-1315.516.2-0.7515.519.8-4.32
Mookie Blaylock7675-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.15-7-2-515.516.7-1.2116.716.40.32
Steven Smith6767-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.24-7-2-515.516.3-0.8115.719.7-4.03
Dikembe Mutombo6062-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.22-90-915.915.10.7817.514.82.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 87, IND 810.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.05,0.07,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,094.4%
TOR 108, PHI 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,093.8%
MEM 119, TOR 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,093.8%