NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	4.8 [867]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +15.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	2.2 [976]		LVP	Luis Scola (TOR): -10.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	17	64%	0.23	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Terrence Ross	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	5	92%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	17	53%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.01	0.04	4	56%	0.00	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Luis Scola	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.02	-0.02	22	58%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.04	0.08	6	92%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	15	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.04	9	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	27.5	16.3	25.6	2.4	30.5	129.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +18.4%

TOR +22.4%

TOR +4.2%

TOR +1.0%

TOR +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	15.1	14.9	118.7	104.4	105.1
season	16.1	14.8		107.2	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.8		108.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	19.6	14.0	17.3	15.8	16.5
PHI	16.4	14.8	13.4	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	72	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.02	20	-7	27	16.7	15.9	0.80	15.9	12.4	3.42
Cory Joseph	61	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-6	25	16.0	17.5	-1.50	14.7	16.0	-1.33
Jonas Valanciunas	56	56	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-3	19	15.8	17.7	-1.97	15.2	15.0	0.15
DeMar DeRozan	71	72	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	7	-1	16.5	16.6	-0.09	14.6	16.9	-2.31
Patrick Patterson	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	6	1	16.7	16.2	0.51	15.2	14.9	0.29
Terrence Ross	42	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	6	1	17.3	15.9	1.41	15.7	14.6	1.04
Luis Scola	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	10	-7	15.8	17.0	-1.19	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Bismack Biyombo	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	13	-13	18.2	15.6	2.61	15.4	14.9	0.49
Delon Wright	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	9.3	16.8	-7.44	9.0	15.3	-6.26
Norman Powell	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	11.0	16.8	-5.85	11.2	15.3	-4.15
James Johnson	22	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	21	-29	18.4	15.9	2.42	16.1	14.8	1.35

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahlil Okafor	61	59	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-23	33	15.9	13.6	2.27	17.8	14.2	3.51
Jerami Grant	41	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-20	27	16.4	14.1	2.35	17.9	15.5	2.49
JaKarr Sampson	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-16	19	13.2	16.3	-3.17	16.3	16.7	-0.35
TJ McConnell	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-13	13	15.6	14.9	0.68	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Nik Stauskas	44	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-8	3	16.3	14.0	2.36	17.2	15.9	1.27
Robert Covington	18	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-7	1	13.6	15.5	-1.95	15.8	16.7	-0.93
Carl Landry	29	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-7	1	13.1	16.1	-2.96	13.1	18.0	-4.94
Isaiah Canaan	20	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-2	-9	15.0	15.1	-0.09	14.1	17.2	-3.11
Ish Smith	62	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	0	-13	14.9	15.6	-0.68	16.8	16.0	0.77
Hollis Thompson	57	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.06	-22	9	-31	14.7	15.9	-1.22	16.0	17.5	-1.45
Nerlens Noel	59	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.01	-22	9	-31	15.6	14.2	1.44	17.1	15.2	1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 111, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	94.0%
UTA 108, NOK 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
TOR 86, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.8%