NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	4.8 [878]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +15.0%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	94		Comeback	2.0 [626]		LVP	David West (NOK): -13.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	17	65%	0.15	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.02	0.05	8	72%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	15	59%	0.08	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	27%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.04	0.04	13	74%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	13	45%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	15	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	12	38%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	29.2	16.6	33.3	2.6	29.0	138.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +12.5%

UTA +16.8%

UTA +15.5%

UTA +5.1%

NOK -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOK	NBA	UTA	NOK	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.4	118.7	104.4	104.5
season	15.9	16.0		107.4	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.4	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.4	15.7	15.5	20.3	16.6
NOK	15.2	15.0	15.8	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-1	16	16.4	17.4	-1.03	15.7	13.5	2.17
Derek Fisher	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	7	0	15.5	19.1	-3.58	15.3	14.9	0.43
Andrei Kirilenko	41	41	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	6	2	14.5	18.4	-3.85	15.9	14.6	1.36
Carlos Boozer	60	60	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	10	-6	16.2	17.4	-1.20	15.6	14.3	1.28
Jarron Collins	29	26	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	5	4	17.0	16.5	0.55	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Mehmet Okur	62	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	9	-4	16.5	17.0	-0.55	15.4	14.6	0.81
Paul Millsap	31	30	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	4	6	17.4	16.2	1.20	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Gordan Giricek	50	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	8	-2	18.4	14.5	3.85	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Matt Harpring	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	8	-2	18.4	14.5	3.85	14.6	15.9	-1.36

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linton Johnson	25	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-13	12	13.8	15.7	-1.92	17.4	16.3	1.16
Bobby Jackson	50	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-13	12	14.7	15.8	-1.19	18.5	13.9	4.60
Jannero Pargo	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-8	2	15.2	15.2	0.05	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Marc Jackson	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-8	2	15.2	15.2	0.05	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Chris Paul	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-8	2	15.1	15.4	-0.32	16.7	16.3	0.46
Tyson Chandler	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-9	4	15.2	15.1	0.10	16.4	17.6	-1.20
Desmond Mason	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	0	-14	15.2	15.0	0.22	15.5	23.2	-7.62
Devin Brown	58	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	1	-16	15.7	14.3	1.36	16.2	17.3	-1.11
David West	70	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	2	-18	15.7	13.5	2.11	16.6	16.8	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 111, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	95.1%
CLE 93, TOR 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
PHI 94, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%