inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 119 Excitement5.8 [623] MVPWesley Person (MEM): +8.6%
Toronto Raptors 106 Comeback1.1 [456] LVPVoshon Lenard (TOR): -11.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Person0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.01-0.01967%0.0900.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.17-0.020.081976%0.152-0.074100%0.01
Shane Battier0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.020.09-0.00947%0.101-0.021100%0.01
Stromile Swift0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.010.021570%0.122-0.073100%0.01
Mike Batiste0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.03-0.01940%0.0200.002100%0.01
Brevin Knight0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.020.031652%0.022-0.0410%-0.02
Earl Watson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.00654%0.011-0.0210%-0.01
Mike Miller-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.02764%0.022-0.0300%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jelani McCoy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00580%0.0600.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.020.021756%0.0200.002100%0.01
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.10-0.010.081186%0.103-0.0900%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.00560%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Chris Jefferies00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maceo Baston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.00455%0.001-0.03367%-0.02
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.001347%-0.0300.004100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.010.022450%0.012-0.054100%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01933%-0.052-0.07367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.01.826.317.320.72.432.4121.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +36.0%
TOR -1.8%
MEM +5.8%
MEM +7.1%
MEM +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMTORNBAMEMTORNBA
this game14.916.415.5129.3115.2101.6
season15.316.2101.898.8
opponent15.315.2105.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM13.314.116.016.214.9
TOR16.716.515.317.316.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stromile Swift79780.500.000.490.141211114.914.60.3116.416.40.08
Pau Gasol73730.290.210.090.0394514.217.5-3.3316.217.3-1.12
Jason Williams66660.290.210.070.0585314.515.7-1.1916.316.6-0.27
Wesley Person66660.290.210.070.0585314.515.7-1.1916.316.6-0.27
Shane Battier47480.260.240.020.0867-114.914.90.0316.616.20.33
Mike Miller45440.240.26-0.020.0476114.914.9-0.0316.216.6-0.33
Earl Watson26260.210.29-0.070.0758-315.714.51.1916.616.30.27
Brevin Knight26260.210.29-0.070.0758-315.714.51.1916.616.30.27
Mike Batiste32330.210.29-0.080.0658-316.314.12.2416.916.20.76

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maceo Baston23-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-131318.016.41.6117.714.82.88
Chris Jefferies23-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-131318.016.41.6117.714.82.88
Morris Peterson6060-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-151715.817.6-1.7914.715.2-0.52
Rafer Alston3232-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-10717.415.91.5516.514.02.53
Jelani McCoy3231-0.13-0.370.25-0.01-4-9516.516.40.1215.414.60.81
Antonio Davis6466-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-121116.117.2-1.1414.615.5-0.86
Michael Bradley3836-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.03-8-5-316.716.20.4915.714.31.43
Alvin Williams6060-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.09-10-3-715.917.4-1.5514.016.5-2.53
Jerome Williams4848-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.07-130-1316.516.30.2514.015.8-1.75
Vince Carter7069-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.16-10-3-716.416.40.0815.413.22.22
Voshon Lenard5252-0.520.02-0.530.01-185-2317.115.61.4614.215.8-1.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 99, DEN 850.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,094.0%
TOR 86, ATL 770.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,093.8%
CHI 103, MEM 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,093.5%