NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	87		Excitement	5.5 [706]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +12.5%
Indiana Pacers	81		Comeback	1.6 [405]		LVP	CJ Miles (IND): -17.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.01	7	69%	0.16	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	16	70%	0.22	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
John Henson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	11	23%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	15	53%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	67%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	3	44%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	11	35%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	8	0%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	30.5	15.5	25.6	1.8	33.2	132.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.1%

MIL +6.1%

IND -10.0%

MIL +16.7%

IND -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	18.0	15.1	98.9	93.1	104.2
season	14.5	16.0		100.5	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.7		102.0	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.6	13.7	14.7	16.8	14.9
IND	16.7	19.9	17.4	18.3	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Sanders	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-3	12	13.8	16.1	-2.29	15.8	20.6	-4.82
Khris Middleton	34	33	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-2	10	14.8	14.9	-0.12	21.9	15.6	6.29
O.J. Mayo	36	36	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	-1	8	14.4	15.3	-0.91	21.7	15.5	6.20
Jerryd Bayless	33	32	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	1	4	14.4	15.2	-0.76	21.7	15.9	5.73
Giannis Antetokounmpo	29	29	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	1	4	14.4	15.1	-0.72	21.1	16.5	4.60
Brandon Knight	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	4	-2	15.0	14.8	0.18	15.7	22.3	-6.61
Ersan Ilyasova	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	7	-8	15.8	13.8	2.06	17.4	18.8	-1.33
Jared Dudley	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.20	-1	7	-8	15.3	14.4	0.91	15.5	21.7	-6.20
Jabari Parker	54	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	8	-10	14.9	14.8	0.12	15.6	21.9	-6.29
John Henson	17	16	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.00	3	3	0	13.5	15.2	-1.77	17.6	18.1	-0.58
Zaza Pachulia	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	11	-16	16.5	13.9	2.66	20.0	16.8	3.27

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	29	30	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.34	13	-19	32	18.0	18.0	-0.00	16.5	14.1	2.48
Damjan Rudez	33	34	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-12	18	17.7	18.2	-0.54	16.4	14.0	2.42
Ian Mahinmi	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-4	2	25.2	16.9	8.37	13.7	15.1	-1.33
Chris Copeland	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.36	8	-14	22	18.2	17.9	0.26	16.0	13.8	2.25
Lavoy Allen	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-13	20	19.8	15.9	3.92	16.8	12.6	4.21
Roy Hibbert	66	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-6	6	16.7	22.4	-5.73	14.9	14.8	0.12
Luis Scola	37	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	8	-22	16.6	19.1	-2.41	13.3	16.1	-2.81
Solomon Hill	54	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	6	-18	18.9	16.6	2.35	13.9	16.5	-2.59
CJ Miles	55	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	10	-26	17.0	19.7	-2.71	13.8	17.1	-3.29
Donald Sloan	59	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.04	-20	14	-34	17.8	18.6	-0.84	14.1	16.5	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.05,0.07,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAS 114, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.4%
PHX 119, LAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0	93.2%