inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 114 Excitement4.2 [976] MVPBoris Diaw (SAS): +16.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 103 Comeback1.6 [779] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (MIL): -5.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boris Diaw0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.130.02-0.00875%0.1600.008100%0.04
Danny Green0.130,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.02-0.021656%0.131-0.004100%0.02
Tony Parker0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.140.020.04794%0.1200.002100%0.01
Tim Duncan0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.07-0.00-0.021656%0.091-0.00250%-0.00
Reggie Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.02367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.00858%0.061-0.03875%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.030.01948%0.041-0.025100%0.01
Tiago Splitter0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00267%0.052-0.03540%-0.04
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00167%0.021-0.03450%-0.02
Patty Mills-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.11-0.000.02875%0.0900.004100%0.02
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.001455%0.0800.00333%-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.011654%0.061-0.023100%0.01
Chris Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04475%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.01867%0.052-0.042100%0.01
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.00362%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Johnny O'Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00756%0.032-0.05450%-0.02
Miles Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.03450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyler Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.01729%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.02-0.04946%-0.004-0.06683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.528.315.726.32.633.0135.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +22.9%
SAS +15.0%
SAS +3.3%
SAS +7.3%
SAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMILNBASASMILNBA
this game15.515.315.1121.3110.8104.2
season15.414.5106.9100.5
opponent15.714.9101.0101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.313.416.116.515.5
MIL15.014.915.915.615.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green79760.440.060.370.111101115.018.1-3.0815.116.2-1.12
Boris Diaw59590.370.130.240.1192715.415.6-0.1915.714.71.02
Tim Duncan64650.330.170.170.1374316.413.62.7615.215.6-0.41
Tony Parker51510.330.170.160.011101116.514.22.3015.015.7-0.71
Patty Mills33320.300.200.09-0.0612-11313.716.4-2.7516.714.62.03
Kawhi Leonard52530.210.29-0.070.0174316.813.83.0614.716.2-1.54
Reggie Williams14140.180.32-0.140.18011-1114.515.6-1.1515.915.20.63
Marco Belinelli46470.170.33-0.160.0356-115.415.5-0.0915.814.80.98
Tiago Splitter41390.170.33-0.160.0547-314.716.1-1.3714.216.1-1.88
Jeff Ayres12100.090.41-0.310.0429-714.315.6-1.3119.214.94.34
Matt Bonner770.030.47-0.44-0.0329-712.915.7-2.8315.115.3-0.19
Kyle Anderson220.000.50-0.500.09-314-1713.015.5-2.5321.015.25.80
Cory Joseph1010-0.120.62-0.750.23-1223-3516.015.40.5812.715.6-2.94

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johnny O'Bryant78-0.01-0.490.49-0.072-131513.915.4-1.5817.115.31.80
Miles Plumlee3334-0.08-0.420.34-0.235-162115.215.4-0.2216.514.91.55
Zaza Pachulia3534-0.08-0.420.330.06-5-6114.915.6-0.6515.915.20.72
Chris Johnson2222-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-10915.615.20.4111.816.6-4.84
Tyler Ennis3939-0.19-0.310.13-0.10-3-8516.414.51.8713.417.0-3.58
Jerryd Bayless4748-0.20-0.300.09-0.11-3-8515.215.4-0.1814.916.1-1.19
Giannis Antetokounmpo6971-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.26-2-9715.415.20.1516.313.13.17
Khris Middleton5857-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.09-8-3-515.614.90.6516.214.31.95
John Henson2526-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.01-110-1116.115.01.0413.616.2-2.63
Michael Carter-Williams6565-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.06-10-1-914.716.8-2.1416.612.93.68
Ersan Ilyasova6566-0.510.01-0.530.04-198-2715.215.7-0.5115.615.30.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 104, SAS 800.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
DET 116, ORL 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
BKN 101, BOS 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,095.2%