NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	3.8 [1028]		MVP	Jim Jackson (SAC): +15.5%
San Antonio Spurs	80		Comeback	1.7 [344]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -13.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	14	77%	0.16	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	10	73%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	16	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	22	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	64%	0.06	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	37%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.00	0.06	6	77%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mengke Bateer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	11	67%	0.09	6	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	55%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	33.9	3.6	24.2	1.8	23.3	113.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +20.2%

SAC +1.3%

SAS -5.6%

SAC +32.1%

SAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.5	110.6	86.0	101.6
season	14.0	15.7		104.4	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		96.9	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	14.2	14.9	18.8	15.5
SAS	14.3	15.8	15.8	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.12	21	3	18	15.1	17.8	-2.66	15.7	13.2	2.52
Vlade Divac	63	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	5	14	15.9	14.6	1.34	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Bobby Jackson	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	10	4	15.2	16.1	-0.92	15.4	15.1	0.34
Jim Jackson	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	6	12	15.6	15.3	0.25	15.8	14.5	1.25
Chris Webber	68	66	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	12	0	15.4	15.7	-0.24	15.6	14.7	0.82
Keon Clark	57	55	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.24	17	7	10	15.1	16.1	-1.04	15.3	15.4	-0.17
Gerald Wallace	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	19	-14	15.8	15.2	0.62	14.2	16.3	-2.11
Damon Jones	33	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.31	14	10	4	16.4	15.0	1.36	14.9	15.5	-0.59

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	19	21	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-23	22	14.6	15.5	-0.87	18.6	14.6	4.04
Mengke Bateer	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-20	16	14.2	15.4	-1.19	20.5	15.1	5.36
Anthony Goldwire	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-20	16	14.2	15.4	-1.19	20.5	15.1	5.36
Danny Ferry	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-20	16	14.7	15.6	-0.88	18.0	14.5	3.43
Steve Kerr	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.25	-12	-12	0	14.8	15.7	-0.95	16.4	14.8	1.55
Stephen Jackson	47	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-12	0	15.7	15.0	0.68	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Kevin Willis	37	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-16	8	15.8	15.0	0.72	15.1	15.7	-0.66
Steven Smith	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-13	2	14.9	15.7	-0.81	14.8	16.2	-1.45
David Robinson	50	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-12	0	14.9	15.9	-1.00	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Tony Parker	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-14	4	15.6	14.9	0.74	14.8	16.6	-1.74
Bruce Bowen	55	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	-5	-14	15.9	14.5	1.35	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Tim Duncan	75	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.18	-23	-1	-22	15.7	13.9	1.78	14.8	18.3	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 116, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NYK 99, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SAS 114, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%