NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	67		Excitement	8.9 [82]		MVP	Mark West (ATL): +5.1%
Orlando Magic	70		Comeback	4.4 [210]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -68.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark West	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	14	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	14	57%	-0.00	3	-0.09	12	75%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	13	42%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.29,-0.29	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	5	-0.24	2	100%	0.04
Mookie Blaylock	-0.68	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.68	-0.25	-0.52	-0.08	15	24%	-0.54	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	16	45%	0.02	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.08	-0.03	10	23%	-0.04	3	-0.16	2	0%	-0.04
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.38,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.10	0.01	14	34%	-0.13	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.12
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.34	-0.34	-0.13	-0.28	-0.07	14	47%	-0.07	4	-0.27	12	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.5	14.7	21.2	2.4	42.3	133.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +26.2%

ORL +7.9%

ORL +18.1%

ATL -4.7%

ORL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	17.1	15.5	15.8	76.1	78.7	99.6
season	16.7	16.1		97.2	98.0
opponent	15.6	16.3		95.7	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.4	14.9	18.1	17.0	17.1
ORL	15.0	15.1	16.2	15.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	14	15	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-6	9	14.2	17.6	-3.38	18.1	15.0	3.09
Roshown McLeod	13	14	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-7	11	14.2	17.5	-3.32	17.1	15.2	1.96
Chris Crawford	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	17.3	17.0	0.30	17.0	15.4	1.60
Anthony Johnson	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-2	1	17.6	16.7	0.89	16.6	14.8	1.81
LaPhonso Ellis	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-4	5	16.3	22.2	-5.86	15.1	18.2	-3.09
Grant Long	69	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	3	-9	17.9	14.2	3.70	15.2	16.5	-1.25
Tyrone Corbin	79	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	17.1	17.1	-0.06	15.5	15.4	0.11
Dikembe Mutombo	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	3	-9	17.6	14.2	3.38	15.0	18.1	-3.09
Mookie Blaylock	76	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	2	-7	17.3	15.5	1.80	15.3	17.2	-1.93

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	38	37	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.64	7	-4	11	15.9	15.2	0.65	16.3	17.6	-1.31
Horace Grant	68	69	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-7	17	15.4	15.8	-0.35	17.4	15.6	1.82
Ike Austin	54	55	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-2	7	16.0	14.7	1.24	18.1	15.2	2.90
Anfernee Hardaway	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-4	11	15.5	15.2	0.28	17.3	15.6	1.71
Nick Anderson	70	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.45	-3	6	-9	15.3	16.3	-0.98	17.0	17.1	-0.06
Dominique Wilkins	14	14	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-2	7	15.5	15.5	0.01	18.1	16.9	1.29
Matt Harpring	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	4	-5	15.5	15.5	-0.07	16.1	17.6	-1.53
Michael Doleac	29	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	5	-7	14.8	15.8	-0.99	14.0	18.4	-4.41
Derek Strong	21	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	10	-17	15.8	15.4	0.35	15.6	17.4	-1.82
Bo Outlaw	43	43	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.21	-6	9	-15	15.3	15.7	-0.37	18.2	16.0	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.64,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.69,0.58,1	91.5%
MIL 93, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.72,1	91.1%
NOH 96, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	91.0%