NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	6.2 [594]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +34.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	3.7 [516]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -23.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.09	0.05	18	61%	0.17	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Willie Green	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.01	19	59%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	7	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	0.01	6	44%	-0.03	4	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.16	0.05	18	76%	0.42	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.08	-0.00	13	73%	0.26	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	14	56%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.4	13.8	28.3	2.6	34.2	133.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.4%

POR +2.6%

NOH -7.0%

POR +13.5%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	POR	NBA	NOH	POR	NBA
this game	18.3	16.2	15.5	115.7	122.6	105.7
season	16.2	16.5		104.6	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.9		105.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.9	19.5	20.3	16.0	18.3
POR	18.1	16.5	17.6	13.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	5	5	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-14	21	11.6	18.7	-7.11	17.8	16.1	1.67
Marcus Thornton	21	22	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-11	15	19.5	17.9	1.61	16.3	16.2	0.12
Marco Belinelli	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	17.7	18.4	-0.66	18.7	15.9	2.73
Jason Smith	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	1	-9	18.6	18.1	0.52	19.2	14.9	4.30
Jarrett Jack	56	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-8	9	18.1	18.6	-0.52	14.9	19.2	-4.30
Trevor Ariza	76	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	18.6	14.9	3.73	15.9	20.0	-4.06
Chris Paul	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	18.0	20.4	-2.41	16.4	15.3	1.09
Willie Green	70	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.24	-12	5	-17	18.0	19.8	-1.86	16.0	17.3	-1.29
David West	78	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.23	-14	7	-21	18.7	11.6	7.11	16.1	17.8	-1.67

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-6	19	16.1	17.1	-0.99	18.5	16.4	2.11
Rudy Fernandez	57	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	1	5	16.2	16.3	-0.16	17.8	19.3	-1.49
Nicolas Batum	74	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	16.2	16.7	-0.54	18.0	20.1	-2.07
Andre Miller	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	16.3	16.0	0.28	18.4	17.9	0.51
Wesley Matthews	78	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-1	9	16.2	16.7	-0.47	18.3	18.0	0.30
Patty Mills	13	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	11	-15	17.1	16.1	1.01	17.7	18.4	-0.62
Dante Cunningham	45	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	11	-15	16.1	16.3	-0.20	19.2	17.2	2.07
Joel Przybilla	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	13	-19	17.1	16.1	0.99	16.4	18.5	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 60, NJN 64	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	92.1%
TOR 96, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.53,0.53,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	92.0%
MIL 79, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.84,0.98,1,1	91.8%