NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	8.3 [217]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +35.8%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	3.8 [430]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -13.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.13	0.00	10	52%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.02	0.03	15	73%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
DeMarre Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Norman Powell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	15	44%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	17	49%	0.06	5	-0.20	7	100%	0.06

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.36	0.36	0.13	0.25	0.02	9	72%	0.36	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.2,0.2	0.20	-0.01	0.19	-0.03	12	50%	0.25	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	15	52%	0.10	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	67%	0.17	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.04
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	25.4	14.7	29.2	2.4	40.4	135.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +61.0%

TOR -7.6%

UTA +3.8%

TOR -13.4%

UTA +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.1	14.9	96.7	102.2	105.1
season	16.1	16.3		107.2	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.8		102.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	17.9	15.0	16.9	16.4
UTA	16.8	14.9	15.0	13.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	31	31	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.03	5	-9	14	14.5	17.4	-2.96	15.1	15.0	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	30	30	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-7	10	14.9	17.1	-2.20	14.8	15.2	-0.38
Patrick Patterson	33	33	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-5	6	14.5	17.5	-2.91	15.2	15.0	0.15
Cory Joseph	44	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-4	4	15.1	17.6	-2.53	13.6	16.5	-2.83
Norman Powell	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-3	2	16.3	16.4	-0.14	15.0	15.1	-0.06
Kyle Lowry	73	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-4	4	15.7	19.2	-3.53	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Jonas Valanciunas	59	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	3	-10	17.7	14.2	3.53	16.1	13.2	2.91
DeMarre Carroll	64	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	1	-6	17.7	13.6	4.08	14.9	15.4	-0.44
Luis Scola	56	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.42	-7	3	-10	17.2	15.2	1.96	15.4	14.6	0.73
DeMar DeRozan	63	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	5	-14	17.7	13.6	4.13	15.1	14.9	0.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	57	59	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.38	16	-12	28	15.3	14.7	0.56	17.3	14.8	2.44
Rodney Hood	63	63	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.41	12	-8	20	15.3	14.5	0.75	17.8	13.3	4.53
Gordon Hayward	65	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-5	14	14.7	15.8	-1.11	17.4	13.8	3.59
Rudy Gobert	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-3	10	15.8	12.6	3.25	18.0	12.0	5.91
Raul Neto	30	32	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.11	9	-5	14	16.9	14.1	2.75	17.5	15.8	1.71
Alec Burks	55	53	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.38	-8	12	-20	13.9	16.8	-2.85	15.5	17.6	-2.13
Chris Johnson	13	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	0	4	12.2	15.5	-3.29	11.5	17.1	-5.63
Trey Burke	33	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	12	-20	15.5	14.8	0.72	16.4	16.4	0.05
Joe Ingles	20	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	9	-14	14.9	15.1	-0.13	12.0	17.7	-5.72
Jeff Withey	18	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	8	-12	14.4	15.2	-0.76	12.1	17.5	-5.35
Trevor Booker	32	32	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.02	-12	16	-28	14.5	15.4	-0.90	14.0	17.7	-3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 67, ORL 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	91.5%
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	91.2%
BKN 114, SAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.69,0.39,0.55,0.74,1	91.1%