NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	114		Excitement	10.1 [89]		MVP	Derrick White (SAS): +37.2%
San Antonio Spurs	117		Comeback	4.4 [478]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): -15.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0.36	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.11	0.27	0.01	10	86%	0.44	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Shabazz Napier	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17	0.02	0.17	0.02	13	47%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.01	7	82%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Ed Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	13	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Treveon Graham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rodions Kurucs	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	8	50%	-0.03	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.1,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	26	45%	0.04	4	-0.19	4	75%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.21	0.02	13	74%	0.39	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.05
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.15	0.15	-0.03	0.16	-0.03	16	39%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.13	-0.01	13	54%	0.23	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.15	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.06	-0.01	13	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	7	21%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	26.6	15.3	31.5	1.5	35.2	140.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -20.0%

SAS +17.7%

SAS +29.2%

SAS +23.7%

BKN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	SAS	NBA	BKN	SAS	NBA
this game	12.6	14.3	14.3	106.5	109.3	109.3
season	14.3	14.8		108.6	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.0		110.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.8	12.2	12.1	13.3	12.6
SAS	16.0	14.9	12.7	13.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	45	45	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.00	8	-11	19	12.5	12.7	-0.26	14.0	14.5	-0.55
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	41	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-5	7	12.5	12.7	-0.21	14.0	14.5	-0.57
Treveon Graham	55	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	3	-9	12.6	12.6	0.04	14.6	13.9	0.70
Shabazz Napier	62	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-6	9	12.6	12.7	-0.09	14.3	14.3	0.01
Rodions Kurucs	59	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	2	-7	12.6	12.6	0.06	15.0	13.4	1.61
DeMarre Carroll	63	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-6	9	12.6	12.7	-0.07	13.7	15.2	-1.52
D'Angelo Russell	77	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	12.2	13.6	-1.37	14.4	14.1	0.29
Jarrett Allen	61	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.38	-11	8	-19	12.9	12.3	0.62	14.5	14.0	0.55
Joe Harris	72	71	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.46	-11	8	-19	13.0	11.9	1.13	14.1	14.7	-0.60

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	51	54	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.45	12	-9	21	15.2	13.5	1.68	13.2	12.0	1.22
LaMarcus Aldridge	82	84	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.47	8	-5	13	14.4	13.8	0.60	13.1	11.0	2.11
DeMar DeRozan	79	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-2	7	14.3	14.2	0.07	12.7	12.3	0.40
Davis Bertans	51	48	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.52	0	3	-3	13.7	14.8	-1.06	12.6	12.6	-0.02
Patty Mills	71	67	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.44	-4	7	-11	13.6	15.6	-1.94	12.4	12.9	-0.49
Bryn Forbes	63	63	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.17	9	-6	15	13.9	14.9	-1.04	12.1	13.4	-1.31
Rudy Gay	60	63	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	-5	13	14.8	13.7	1.10	12.7	12.4	0.31
Quincy Pondexter	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	3	-3	15.4	14.2	1.21	14.9	12.5	2.40
Pau Gasol	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.2	0.89	11.2	12.8	-1.67
Dante Cunningham	10	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	10	-17	15.3	14.2	1.10	9.7	12.9	-3.22
Jakob Poeltl	11	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	6	-9	12.3	14.5	-2.26	10.7	12.8	-2.11
Marco Belinelli	36	38	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	14	-25	14.5	14.2	0.34	12.8	12.5	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.69,0.39,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	91.3%
CHH 85, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	91.2%
TOR 89, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.69,0.58,1	91.1%