NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	85		Excitement	8.7 [96]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +21.2%
Washington Wizards	86		Comeback	3.5 [236]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -44.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Reid	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.10
Charles Shackleford	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chuck Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.03	0.01	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
B.J. Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.08
Bobby Phills	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.12	-0.06	0.03	8	50%	-0.03	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.03
David Wesley	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.35,-0.35,-0.45	-0.13	-0.31	0.01	13	44%	-0.18	6	-0.27	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.09,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.00	0.21	-0.00	24	51%	0.27	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	13	60%	0.15	3	-0.11	16	94%	0.18
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Terry Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	10	20%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.10	-0.17	0.02	16	42%	-0.20	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	28.5	14.8	23.6	2.4	43.6	135.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +11.8%

WAS +12.9%

CHH -17.9%

WAS +46.9%

CHH -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	WAS	NBA	CHH	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	14.0	15.8	90.4	91.5	99.6
season	15.7	15.5		99.2	98.8
opponent	15.9	15.5		101.3	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.3	17.1	15.0	17.0	16.6
WAS	14.0	14.2	15.7	12.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	27	28	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-3	5	15.8	16.9	-1.11	13.4	14.3	-0.96
B.J. Armstrong	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-5	9	14.4	17.7	-3.29	13.0	14.5	-1.52
Willie Burton	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	18.9	16.4	2.48	16.6	13.8	2.74
J.R. Reid	79	78	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-4	7	16.6	16.5	0.17	14.9	9.6	5.31
Eldridge Recasner	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	3	-7	17.5	16.5	0.98	12.5	14.2	-1.67
Charles Shackleford	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	1	-3	17.2	15.6	1.65	14.5	13.2	1.33
Chuck Person	83	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-4	7	16.4	18.4	-1.99	14.0	14.6	-0.64
Brad Miller	47	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	5	-11	15.8	17.4	-1.55	13.1	15.0	-1.94
David Wesley	65	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.60	1	-2	3	17.3	15.1	2.22	14.2	13.7	0.54
Bobby Phills	62	62	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.59	-5	4	-9	17.2	15.4	1.82	13.8	14.5	-0.66

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	80	82	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.47	9	-8	17	14.3	12.4	1.97	17.4	11.2	6.14
Rod Strickland	86	84	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.53	1	0	1	14.1	13.5	0.58	16.3	19.4	-3.13
Juwan Howard	92	92	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.1	10.5	3.61	16.7	13.5	3.17
Calbert Cheaney	67	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.59	-6	7	-13	14.1	13.9	0.20	16.8	16.2	0.54
Terry Davis	50	50	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	-2	5	13.9	14.2	-0.28	17.7	15.4	2.29
Ben Wallace	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	3	-5	14.5	13.6	0.88	15.4	17.7	-2.29
Chris Whitney	9	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	1	-1	12.0	14.2	-2.25	18.2	16.4	1.78
Tracy Murray	36	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	0	1	13.6	14.3	-0.68	15.4	17.3	-1.92
Randell Jackson	7	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	3	-5	11.3	14.3	-2.97	11.8	16.9	-5.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.73,1	92.7%
UTA 87, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.98,1	91.5%
UTA 99, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	91.5%