NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	8.3 [187]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +30.9%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	2.9 [193]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -41.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31	0.20	0.15	0.04	13	72%	0.31	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	6	92%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Ronnie Price	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.05
Paul Millsap	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	9	15%	-0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	-0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.31,-0.42	-0.19	-0.24	-0.01	16	29%	-0.22	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.18	0.02	16	68%	0.33	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	17	53%	0.16	2	-0.03	11	55%	-0.10
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	87%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	10	58%	0.15	1	-0.10	6	83%	0.06
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.8	30.1	16.4	30.6	2.3	36.6	142.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +90.4%

UTA -26.6%

UTA -24.8%

SAC +14.5%

UTA -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	15.3	102.1	108.4	106.0
season	15.3	15.2		109.5	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	16.5	13.9	16.6	15.5
SAC	12.5	14.0	16.8	14.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	34	33	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.04	9	-13	22	15.5	15.6	-0.07	16.1	13.6	2.53
Ronnie Price	23	21	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.10	4	-8	12	15.6	15.5	0.08	15.5	14.1	1.39
Kyrylo Fesenko	13	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	15.5	15.5	-0.01	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Paul Millsap	47	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-6	8	17.0	14.1	2.90	15.5	13.5	1.99
Kyle Korver	41	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.23	5	-9	14	16.0	15.2	0.87	14.3	14.5	-0.22
Wesley Matthews	54	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	5	-14	15.0	16.3	-1.32	14.3	14.6	-0.25
Mehmet Okur	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	2	-8	14.2	17.7	-3.49	13.7	15.7	-2.01
Carlos Boozer	74	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	1	-6	15.7	15.1	0.55	14.6	14.0	0.52
Deron Williams	74	74	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.49	-8	4	-12	15.5	15.6	-0.08	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Andrei Kirilenko	65	64	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	9	-22	15.7	15.2	0.58	13.8	15.8	-2.07

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	80	82	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.44	13	-9	22	13.9	17.1	-3.20	15.7	14.7	0.96
Tyreke Evans	75	75	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.46	7	-3	10	14.5	14.3	0.12	15.9	14.3	1.65
Spencer Hawes	76	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.42	6	-2	8	14.0	16.1	-2.08	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Beno Udrih	84	85	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	-1	6	14.4	14.6	-0.22	15.1	18.7	-3.66
Ime Udoka	28	29	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.48	3	1	2	13.5	14.8	-1.29	17.3	14.8	2.57
Omri Casspi	39	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	1	2	13.7	15.0	-1.32	13.9	16.8	-2.93
Andres Nocioni	24	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	4	-4	16.1	13.9	2.25	15.2	15.7	-0.47
Sean May	13	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	7	-10	18.3	13.8	4.48	16.1	15.5	0.62
Francisco Garcia	35	37	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.14	-4	8	-12	14.9	14.2	0.70	16.1	15.2	0.95
Joey Dorsey	21	20	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.04	-10	14	-24	15.5	14.1	1.33	15.7	15.5	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 85, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	91.5%
SAS 71, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	91.5%
BKN 114, SAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.69,0.39,0.55,0.74,1	91.3%