NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	71		Excitement	4.9 [507]		MVP	Rex Walters (MIA): +10.0%
Miami Heat	81		Comeback	1.5 [570]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -19.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	65%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	13	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	10	38%	-0.03	4	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	13	32%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	14	71%	0.13	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	18	42%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	11	35%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.7	26.7	18.0	27.1	2.6	36.6	135.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +33.6%

MIA +1.2%

MIA +3.4%

MIA +10.5%

MIA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIA	NBA	HOU	MIA	NBA
this game	18.1	17.0	15.8	86.6	98.8	99.6
season	16.0	16.6		103.1	101.3
opponent	16.7	15.6		96.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.9	19.4	18.1	16.2	18.1
MIA	14.7	17.5	17.9	18.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Miller	36	36	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.22	12	-22	34	19.5	17.1	2.41	18.1	16.1	1.93
Matt Bullard	12	11	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-13	16	18.7	18.1	0.61	15.2	17.3	-2.07
Bryce Drew	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-14	18	19.6	18.0	1.64	19.0	16.8	2.24
Brent Price	38	39	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-11	12	18.1	18.2	-0.17	17.5	16.5	1.02
Matt Maloney	14	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	19.5	17.9	1.63	15.0	17.4	-2.42
Cuttino Mobley	43	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-7	4	17.6	18.7	-1.09	17.4	16.5	0.93
Hakeem Olajuwon	65	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	0	-10	18.1	18.3	-0.19	17.1	16.3	0.82
Scottie Pippen	71	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	3	-16	18.1	18.2	-0.04	17.3	15.2	2.07
Michael Dickerson	63	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.08	-19	9	-28	17.5	20.2	-2.69	16.3	19.1	-2.77
Othella Harrington	60	60	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.09	-22	12	-34	17.8	19.0	-1.10	16.4	18.6	-2.21

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	53	51	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.10	23	-13	36	16.3	18.1	-1.80	17.3	19.5	-2.25
Alonzo Mourning	72	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-8	26	16.3	21.9	-5.61	18.7	13.7	5.03
P.J. Brown	67	66	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.07	19	-9	28	17.0	17.1	-0.11	17.5	20.7	-3.16
Tim Hardaway	74	74	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.17	15	-5	20	17.0	16.4	0.67	17.9	20.6	-2.75
Rex Walters	51	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-2	14	16.0	18.5	-2.48	19.2	16.5	2.70
Mark Strickland	8	7	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	9	-8	13.5	17.4	-3.85	19.3	18.0	1.25
Terry Porter	38	40	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	17	-24	18.2	15.9	2.30	17.0	19.2	-2.19
Clar. Weatherspoon	24	24	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.22	-17	27	-44	19.4	16.0	3.39	18.9	17.8	1.03
Blue Edwards	23	25	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.10	-14	24	-38	19.2	16.1	3.06	19.4	17.6	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, NOH 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.92,1	94.6%
DEN 107, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
WAS 86, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%