NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	6.1 [352]		MVP	Brent Barry (CHI): +9.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	84		Comeback	1.1 [375]		LVP	Andrew Lang (CHI): -21.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	12	48%	0.09	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Bill Wennington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Bennett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	12	59%	0.01	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.03
Dickey Simpkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Mark Bryant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Kornel David	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Toni Kukoc	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	19	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Andrew Lang	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.17	-0.07	-0.03	10	27%	-0.12	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	-0.02	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	8	30%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	29.0	14.8	30.2	2.5	37.4	143.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.2%

LAC -4.1%

CHI +22.9%

LAC -6.0%

CHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	18.0	16.1	15.8	106.0	98.8	99.6
season	16.7	16.7		90.6	97.5
opponent	14.7	15.4		107.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	18.0	20.6	18.9	18.0
LAC	15.8	16.3	14.3	18.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	77	77	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.24	15	-10	25	18.0	18.0	-0.01	16.5	11.9	4.67
Brent Barry	72	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	0	5	18.0	17.7	0.38	16.0	16.7	-0.75
Ron Harper	67	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-3	11	18.2	17.2	0.94	16.3	15.3	1.05
Mark Bryant	42	43	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-7	19	17.8	18.2	-0.36	15.3	17.0	-1.67
Andrew Lang	58	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	18.2	17.5	0.71	16.5	15.2	1.32
Dickey Simpkins	20	21	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-2	9	17.8	18.0	-0.25	18.0	15.5	2.45
Bill Wennington	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	9	-13	17.2	18.4	-1.21	16.8	15.7	1.12
Mario Bennett	8	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	8	-11	19.7	17.8	1.95	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Randy Brown	29	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.00	-3	8	-11	17.4	18.3	-0.88	15.9	16.2	-0.37
Corey Benjamin	7	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	12	-19	21.1	17.7	3.44	11.6	16.5	-4.94
Kornel David	9	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	15	-25	16.4	18.2	-1.73	11.0	16.7	-5.71

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	24	23	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-8	11	14.5	16.7	-2.18	17.6	18.1	-0.52
Eric Piatkowski	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	15.2	16.5	-1.26	20.1	17.1	3.03
Sherman Douglas	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-5	5	17.4	15.3	2.09	18.6	17.6	0.93
Michael Olowokandi	51	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-12	19	14.7	18.1	-3.40	17.3	19.2	-1.96
Lorenzen Wright	48	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-8	11	17.0	15.0	1.96	20.1	15.5	4.59
Stojko Vrankovic	11	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	7	-19	17.5	15.9	1.65	15.8	18.3	-2.48
Lamond Murray	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-5	5	15.9	16.8	-0.90	18.1	17.3	0.88
Darrick Martin	53	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	0	-5	15.3	17.4	-2.09	17.6	18.6	-0.93
James Robinson	55	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	4	-13	16.7	14.9	1.81	16.7	20.4	-3.70
Maurice Taylor	57	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	6	-17	17.0	14.3	2.66	17.6	18.7	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, BOS 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
DEN 115, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.8%
LAL 107, OKC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	93.8%