NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	3.9 [815]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +19.0%
Boston Celtics	79		Comeback	1.0 [713]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -6.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.01	0.14	-0.04	21	51%	0.23	3	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	7	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	11	38%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.06	17	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.01	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaJuan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	11	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	12	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	3.5	34.2	18.8	25.4	3.5	32.7	142.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.8%

CHI +6.4%

CHI +19.2%

BOS -4.0%

CHI +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	18.2	16.1	15.6	104.8	94.0	102.8
season	16.0	15.5		104.7	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.9		97.1	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.8	17.1	17.9	21.3	18.2
BOS	16.7	13.6	17.3	17.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	66	65	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-6	21	18.0	18.7	-0.65	15.9	16.9	-0.99
Carlos Boozer	60	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-10	29	18.2	18.0	0.16	16.0	16.5	-0.46
Joakim Noah	68	68	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.20	13	-4	17	17.9	19.1	-1.12	16.3	15.3	1.01
Luol Deng	74	73	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-7	23	18.3	17.3	0.97	16.6	13.0	3.60
Derrick Rose	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.00	16	-7	23	18.3	17.5	0.78	16.4	15.1	1.24
John Lucas III	17	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	16	-23	17.5	18.3	-0.78	15.1	16.4	-1.24
Brian Scalabrine	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	15.0	18.2	-3.23	11.0	16.3	-5.26
Omer Asik	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	13	-17	19.1	17.9	1.12	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Taj Gibson	24	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	19	-29	18.0	18.2	-0.16	16.5	16.0	0.46
Kyle Korver	26	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	18	-27	18.4	18.0	0.39	15.8	16.3	-0.52

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	36	38	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-15	21	17.9	14.8	3.12	18.5	17.9	0.58
Marquis Daniels	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	11.0	16.3	-5.26	15.0	18.2	-3.23
E'Twaun Moore	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	11.0	16.3	-5.26	15.0	18.2	-3.23
JaJuan Johnson	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	11.0	16.3	-5.26	15.0	18.2	-3.23
Greg Stiemsma	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	11.0	16.3	-5.26	15.0	18.2	-3.23
Chris Wilcox	13	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-9	9	12.2	16.9	-4.71	15.5	18.5	-3.00
Avery Bradley	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-10	11	16.9	16.0	0.87	17.7	18.2	-0.53
Mickael Pietrus	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-6	3	17.7	15.4	2.32	17.8	18.3	-0.50
Ray Allen	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	15.9	17.7	-1.84	18.2	17.8	0.39
Kevin Garnett	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	6	-21	16.8	14.8	1.94	18.5	17.4	1.16
Rajon Rondo	70	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	1	-11	16.0	16.9	-0.87	18.2	17.7	0.53
Paul Pierce	63	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.08	-18	9	-27	16.0	16.4	-0.33	18.4	17.3	1.16
Brandon Bass	58	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.11	-17	8	-25	15.7	17.2	-1.54	18.3	17.8	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 115, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SAS 102, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0,0	94.7%
CHI 89, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0	94.5%