inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 115 Excitement4.7 [905] MVPGary Harris (DEN): +35.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 99 Comeback1.0 [1096] LVPMoritz Wagner (LAL): -9.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0.360,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.170.18-0.001183%0.3600.001100%0.01
Mason Plumlee0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.04-0.01760%0.111-0.031100%0.00
Will Barton0.060,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.14-0.020.061666%0.071-0.01367%0.00
Paul Millsap0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.011550%0.0500.002100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01567%0.022-0.02875%-0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thomas Welsh0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00533%-0.0300.0020%-0.02
Torrey Craig-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001040%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Monte Morris-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.02550%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.040.022047%-0.052-0.0200%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.070.052260%0.134-0.04837%-0.05
Johnathan Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.00467%0.0700.00450%-0.03
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.000.041076%0.071-0.0110%-0.01
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.030.031162%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Isaac Bonga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.000100%0.0010.002100%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.05729%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03420%-0.0300.0020%-0.02
Josh Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.040.02647%-0.0700.00367%-0.02
Moritz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.06-0.001148%-0.023-0.071100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.53.325.715.429.63.331.5135.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +29.4%
DEN +2.4%
DEN +18.0%
DEN +3.5%
LAL -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game15.714.114.3118.6103.1109.3
season14.813.5112.0107.2
opponent14.214.6108.7108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.017.915.618.215.7
LAL14.314.215.712.314.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Barton66660.71-0.210.92-0.1128-124015.416.5-1.1214.712.72.01
Gary Harris59600.64-0.140.77-0.1326-103615.216.6-1.4514.813.01.78
Jamal Murray67660.63-0.130.76-0.1125-93415.516.1-0.6014.812.72.11
Paul Millsap82820.56-0.060.62-0.2327-113815.218.7-3.4814.511.72.81
Nikola Jokic71700.51-0.010.510.041601615.915.10.8314.413.31.11
Jarred Vanderbilt210.000.50-0.500.06-218-2014.515.7-1.2510.014.2-4.16
Juancho Hernangomez210.000.50-0.500.06-218-2014.515.7-1.2510.014.2-4.16
Thomas Welsh210.000.50-0.500.06-218-2014.515.7-1.2510.014.2-4.16
Torrey Craig88-0.030.53-0.560.12-521-2616.915.61.2611.714.3-2.58
Mason Plumlee3130-0.050.55-0.590.07-420-2416.415.41.0313.414.4-0.99
Monte Morris3030-0.130.63-0.760.14-925-3416.115.50.6012.714.8-2.11
Malik Beasley3636-0.130.63-0.760.10-824-3216.715.11.5912.814.9-2.09
Isaiah Thomas2929-0.210.71-0.920.08-1026-3616.615.31.2812.814.7-1.84

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaac Bonga440.00-0.500.500.03-1-151411.214.2-2.9914.715.8-1.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope1212-0.02-0.480.47-0.103-192215.214.01.3018.315.42.98
Johnathan Williams2527-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-182013.714.3-0.5918.614.63.93
Mike Muscala1111-0.16-0.340.180.11-9-7-213.714.2-0.4412.416.2-3.79
Alex Caruso5556-0.16-0.340.17-0.191-171813.814.6-0.7817.713.04.71
Moritz Wagner5354-0.25-0.250.00-0.07-6-10413.415.0-1.6516.814.32.51
JaVale McGee4343-0.25-0.25-0.000.04-10-6-415.013.41.6514.316.8-2.51
Josh Hart7879-0.29-0.21-0.070.01-10-6-413.616.3-2.7315.715.70.07
Lance Stephenson2021-0.29-0.21-0.080.15-15-1-1415.113.91.2412.216.7-4.51
LeBron James6463-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.08-8-8013.914.6-0.7716.614.12.56
Reggie Bullock4443-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-13-3-1014.413.90.5414.316.9-2.55
Rajon Rondo7172-0.38-0.12-0.270.03-14-2-1214.911.92.9714.319.8-5.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 88, BOS 790.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,095.4%
SAS 102, DAL 910.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0,094.0%
CHI 89, LAC 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,093.8%