NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	5.0 [822]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +29.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	93		Comeback	1.1 [1154]		LVP	Earl Watson (OKC): -8.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.13	0.14	-0.03	21	65%	0.34	4	-0.05	13	77%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.04	11	50%	0.07	1	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jordan Farmar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	79%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Josh Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.07	0.02	8	84%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.01	20	65%	0.24	6	-0.14	9	89%	0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	14	32%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	13	47%	-0.01	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.4	15.7	29.0	2.5	38.3	137.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.2%

OKC -0.0%

OKC -4.0%

LAL +18.8%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	15.5	110.3	96.9	106.4
season	14.9	14.9		110.6	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	16.3	15.2	16.7	15.4
OKC	15.0	15.0	13.0	14.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	79	78	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.01	21	-7	28	15.6	14.7	0.86	15.1	11.7	3.38
Kobe Bryant	66	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-3	20	15.7	14.7	1.00	15.1	12.9	2.23
Pau Gasol	83	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	4	6	15.4	15.4	-0.01	14.7	12.2	2.48
Derek Fisher	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	0	14	16.0	14.7	1.28	14.7	13.9	0.80
Luke Walton	57	56	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	5	4	15.8	14.9	0.89	14.7	14.0	0.63
Trevor Ariza	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	9	-4	14.9	15.8	-0.89	14.0	14.7	-0.63
Jordan Farmar	41	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	14	-14	14.7	16.0	-1.28	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Josh Powell	32	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	17	-20	15.0	15.6	-0.58	11.9	15.6	-3.66
Sasha Vujacic	31	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	17	-20	14.7	15.7	-1.00	12.9	15.1	-2.23

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	42	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-21	28	13.3	15.3	-1.97	15.3	15.5	-0.26
Kyle Weaver	48	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-21	28	13.4	15.5	-2.12	15.7	15.2	0.48
Earl Watson	35	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-8	2	14.1	14.6	-0.48	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Kevin Durant	89	89	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-9	4	14.2	17.7	-3.56	15.5	15.0	0.46
Russell Westbrook	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	14.6	14.1	0.48	15.8	14.7	1.07
Nenad Krstic	62	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	5	-24	15.4	12.6	2.83	15.7	14.9	0.84
Jeff Green	85	86	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.11	-17	3	-20	14.2	16.5	-2.30	15.4	15.9	-0.55
Thabo Sefolosha	58	60	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.19	-29	15	-44	15.8	12.3	3.52	15.0	16.0	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 121, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
HOU 91, MIA 80	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%