NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	3.5 [1054]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +18.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	124		Comeback	1.0 [1247]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -14.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.05	17	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bubba Wells	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	10	38%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	30	48%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Khalid Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	38%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.02	0.03	22	75%	0.21	2	-0.02	13	54%	-0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	14	75%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	5	85%	0.08	4	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	74%	0.09	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	8	25%	-0.07	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	27.3	16.4	25.3	2.5	29.6	124.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.6%

LAL +1.4%

LAL +3.5%

DAL -2.0%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.6	97.9	125.3	102.5
season	15.8	14.8		98.3	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.1	15.6	14.9	11.1	14.7
LAL	16.2	15.7	11.8	15.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bubba Wells	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-25	21	10.1	15.3	-5.18	16.5	14.5	2.07
Shawn Respert	59	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.21	-12	-17	5	13.6	16.4	-2.82	15.0	14.3	0.66
Khalid Reeves	20	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-22	15	19.9	13.3	6.58	14.9	14.7	0.20
Shawn Bradley	58	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-24	19	14.4	15.1	-0.66	14.8	14.6	0.24
Eric Riley	32	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.27	-19	-10	-9	14.9	14.6	0.34	14.4	14.9	-0.48
Erick Strickland	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-20	11	14.5	15.2	-0.75	14.8	14.4	0.41
A.C. Green	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.24	-22	-7	-15	14.9	14.3	0.65	14.7	14.7	0.03
Michael Finley	95	97	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.38	-29	0	-29	14.8	10.5	4.27	14.6	21.5	-6.93
Hubert Davis	82	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.54	-38	9	-47	14.8	14.0	0.80	14.4	16.7	-2.31

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	69	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.27	30	-1	31	14.1	16.0	-1.86	15.2	13.6	1.61
Shaquille O'Neal	69	67	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.37	32	-3	35	14.0	16.4	-2.38	15.2	13.5	1.71
Eddie Jones	76	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.41	33	-4	37	13.8	17.8	-4.01	14.9	14.1	0.78
Derek Fisher	92	91	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.34	26	3	23	14.7	14.9	-0.16	15.0	10.2	4.81
Rick Fox	64	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.35	26	3	23	14.1	15.8	-1.73	16.4	11.7	4.73
Jon Barry	21	21	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.13	9	20	-11	15.0	14.6	0.37	11.6	15.5	-3.97
Kobe Bryant	55	54	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	35	-41	16.1	13.0	3.07	13.1	16.6	-3.50
Mario Bennett	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	23	-17	18.1	14.4	3.74	9.7	15.1	-5.37
Elden Campbell	30	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	32	-35	16.4	14.0	2.38	13.5	15.2	-1.71
Corie Blount	10	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	37	-45	18.5	14.3	4.22	15.6	14.6	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.65,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ORL 93, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
GSW 93, SEA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%