NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	3.6 [1073]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +11.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	121		Comeback	1.0 [1177]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -17.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	11	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Alando Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	44%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	7	32%	-0.01	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	10	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Richardson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	15	23%	-0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	18	67%	0.15	3	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	21	63%	0.10	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	71%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.08	10	67%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	31%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	33.2	20.4	32.2	3.0	32.0	149.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +46.6%

LAL +3.7%

PHX -4.6%

LAL +4.8%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.1	15.3	97.1	118.6	106.0
season	14.4	15.7		113.5	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	14.9	12.5	12.7	13.7
LAL	12.9	13.9	15.3	14.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	31	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.22	9	-28	37	10.3	15.1	-4.89	16.2	13.2	3.01
Alando Tucker	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-26	33	10.9	14.2	-3.31	14.8	14.0	0.79
Earl Clark	47	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-23	27	12.9	14.3	-1.39	15.2	13.3	1.92
Goran Dragic	46	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-19	19	12.5	14.7	-2.18	14.6	13.8	0.80
Leandro Barbosa	44	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-15	11	13.2	14.0	-0.82	14.3	14.0	0.31
Jared Dudley	56	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.20	-13	-6	-7	13.4	14.0	-0.63	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Jarron Collins	41	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-12	5	13.0	14.2	-1.24	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Amar'e Stoudemire	45	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-8	-3	15.2	12.6	2.58	13.6	14.6	-0.98
Channing Frye	46	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-3	-13	15.4	12.4	3.00	13.4	14.7	-1.38
Steve Nash	51	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-3	-13	15.1	12.4	2.67	13.6	14.6	-0.95
Grant Hill	49	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.19	-23	4	-27	14.7	12.9	1.78	13.6	14.6	-0.95
Jason Richardson	54	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.23	-25	6	-31	14.6	12.7	1.90	13.9	14.4	-0.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	69	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.20	24	-5	29	13.8	14.8	-0.98	14.4	12.2	2.17
Derek Fisher	47	49	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	-1	21	13.5	14.7	-1.18	15.0	12.6	2.43
Metta World Peace	58	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	0	19	13.9	14.4	-0.46	14.2	13.0	1.16
Lamar Odom	61	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	1	17	13.9	14.4	-0.52	13.9	13.4	0.54
Andrew Bynum	73	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.13	17	2	15	14.4	13.6	0.80	14.3	12.1	2.21
Josh Powell	45	46	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	11	-3	14.0	14.2	-0.15	13.9	13.5	0.37
Luke Walton	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	15	-11	14.8	14.0	0.90	13.0	13.9	-0.87
DJ Mbenga	16	17	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	24	-29	13.9	14.2	-0.23	11.4	14.2	-2.81
Jordan Farmar	47	47	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	21	-23	14.3	14.0	0.24	13.2	14.1	-0.89
Shannon Brown	34	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	20	-21	15.1	13.6	1.44	11.9	14.7	-2.81
Adam Morrison	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	14.2	14.1	0.10	11.8	14.1	-2.34
Sasha Vujacic	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	23	-27	14.7	14.0	0.68	12.1	14.1	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.65,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ORL 93, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAC 109, UTA 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%