NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	3.1 [1142]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +14.8%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.1 [1065]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -10.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	12	59%	0.09	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	49%	-0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	62%	0.04	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	24	40%	-0.04	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.01	10	83%	0.15	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.02	0.04	19	74%	0.12	4	-0.02	12	100%	0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	14	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	8	32%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	7	36%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.7	33.3	18.4	29.5	3.6	33.0	149.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.4%

DET +8.2%

ORL -1.7%

DET +8.5%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	18.3	15.5	105.7	122.7	101.6
season	14.6	16.8		102.7	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.9	16.2	14.5	12.3	14.4
DET	17.9	18.9	18.4	18.2	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	23	22	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.43	15	-30	45	13.4	14.8	-1.33	20.5	17.6	2.86
Steven Hunter	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	10.2	14.8	-4.59	14.5	18.7	-4.19
Andrew DeClercq	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	16.9	14.0	2.90	19.0	18.2	0.81
Jeryl Sasser	11	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-18	21	10.3	15.0	-4.74	13.2	19.1	-5.86
Pat Burke	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.19	-8	-7	-1	13.1	14.5	-1.39	14.9	18.6	-3.75
Shawn Kemp	2	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-12	9	19.0	14.3	4.69	18.0	18.3	-0.31
Chris Whitney	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-16	17	11.9	16.2	-4.28	18.1	18.4	-0.33
Gordan Giricek	71	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-8	1	14.8	13.0	1.76	18.8	16.0	2.82
Drew Gooden	63	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	0	-15	15.3	12.1	3.27	18.5	18.0	0.49
Tracy McGrady	80	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	3	-21	14.8	10.2	4.59	18.7	14.5	4.19
Pat Garrity	60	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	2	-19	14.7	13.7	1.04	18.9	16.9	1.99
Darrell Armstrong	65	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.37	-30	15	-45	14.8	13.4	1.33	17.6	20.5	-2.86

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	78	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.26	27	-12	39	18.0	20.9	-2.93	15.2	9.7	5.50
Clifford Robinson	53	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-3	21	18.7	17.7	1.08	14.9	13.7	1.17
Ben Wallace	74	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	1	13	17.6	22.1	-4.56	14.7	12.7	1.93
Jon Barry	34	32	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	2	11	17.7	18.7	-0.98	13.3	15.0	-1.69
Michael Curry	43	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	1	13	18.1	18.5	-0.37	14.7	14.1	0.55
Tayshaun Prince	45	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	14	-13	18.5	18.1	0.37	14.1	14.7	-0.55
Mehmet Okur	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	12	-9	18.8	17.8	1.07	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Richard Hamilton	54	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	13	-11	18.7	17.7	0.98	15.0	13.3	1.69
Danny Manning	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	19.8	18.2	1.58	10.0	14.6	-4.63
Chucky Atkins	10	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.32	-12	27	-39	20.9	18.0	2.93	9.7	15.2	-5.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 58, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHX 102, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NYK 78, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%