NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	58		Excitement	2.8 [1189]		MVP	Vitaly Potapenko (SEA): +8.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	88		Comeback	1.0 [649]		LVP	Jason Caffey (MIL): -10.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.01	-0.09	19	45%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	10	58%	0.04	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jamal Sampson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	10	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	38%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	12	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	-0.06	6	14%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	7	100%	0.08	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	16	37%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Joseph Forte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	7	39%	-0.02	3	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	19	49%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	18	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	43.8	2.6	27.2	17.7	26.2	2.6	29.2	149.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +28.6%

MIL -1.5%

SEA +17.6%

SEA +4.9%

SEA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SEA	NBA	MIL	SEA	NBA
this game	16.0	18.1	15.5	68.2	104.8	101.6
season	15.4	16.5		106.3	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.3	15.8	17.2	15.9	16.0
SEA	17.4	17.8	19.8	17.5	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	15	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-30	30	14.1	16.4	-2.30	20.7	17.6	3.10
Jamal Sampson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-28	26	17.3	16.0	1.36	6.3	18.5	-12.17
Marcus Haislip	43	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	-25	20	14.8	17.3	-2.50	17.0	19.0	-2.00
Dan Gadzuric	28	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.25	-9	-21	12	15.0	16.5	-1.58	17.6	18.3	-0.79
Toni Kukoc	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.23	-17	-13	-4	14.8	17.4	-2.61	18.6	17.5	1.04
Tim Thomas	70	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.27	-20	-10	-10	16.8	12.3	4.48	17.8	19.1	-1.22
Jason Caffey	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-16	2	16.8	15.3	1.56	18.4	17.7	0.71
Sam Cassell	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.14	-17	-13	-4	16.8	14.3	2.53	19.2	15.3	3.92
Michael Redd	65	66	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.45	-36	6	-42	16.0	16.1	-0.10	17.7	19.4	-1.75
Anthony Mason	55	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.25	-30	0	-30	16.6	15.0	1.53	17.9	18.3	-0.36

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.36	31	-1	32	17.5	21.1	-3.56	16.3	14.2	2.16
Vladimir Radmanovic	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.30	28	2	26	17.9	20.1	-2.26	16.1	15.4	0.72
Brent Barry	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.20	21	9	12	18.1	18.1	-0.04	16.3	15.0	1.32
Predrag Drobnjak	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.19	20	10	10	18.6	16.3	2.33	17.1	12.8	4.27
Reggie Evans	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.23	19	11	8	17.7	18.4	-0.66	17.1	15.2	1.86
Vitaly Potapenko	23	23	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	18	-6	15.6	19.0	-3.45	15.3	16.3	-1.05
Joseph Forte	44	44	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.38	14	16	-2	18.9	17.2	1.71	14.0	18.2	-4.20
Jerome James	39	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	25	-20	19.5	16.9	2.59	14.8	17.1	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
POR 107, PHX 125	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DAL 91, SAS 129	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%