NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	3.5 [1109]		MVP	Elton Brand (PHI): +7.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	1.0 [1085]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -8.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	12	57%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	18	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	17	39%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	12	57%	-0.02	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	19	59%	0.09	2	-0.02	8	37%	-0.03
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	11	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	11	52%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	42%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.0	30.3	15.6	27.4	2.6	32.3	133.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +20.7%

PHI +7.3%

PHI +11.6%

PHI +8.9%

PHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.5	95.7	110.6	106.4
season	15.9	15.5		103.5	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.2		105.5	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.0	18.4	15.4	16.0	15.9
PHI	15.4	15.0	12.3	17.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	60	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-18	21	15.5	16.6	-1.15	15.5	13.7	1.81
Dominic McGuire	21	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-16	17	18.8	15.1	3.71	17.9	14.1	3.86
Nick Young	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-13	11	18.7	15.7	3.05	18.4	14.6	3.80
Mike James	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-12	9	16.9	15.0	1.93	16.0	14.0	1.91
JaVale McGee	11	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	-3	-9	16.3	15.8	0.43	15.4	14.9	0.51
Darius Songaila	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-9	3	17.6	15.2	2.34	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Juan Dixon	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-5	-5	15.3	17.1	-1.83	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Antawn Jamison	79	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-5	-5	15.4	18.6	-3.24	14.7	15.9	-1.11
DeShawn Stevenson	75	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	0	-15	15.5	17.3	-1.79	14.4	17.5	-3.12
Caron Butler	82	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.03	-21	6	-27	15.3	20.0	-4.66	14.0	21.0	-6.98

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	74	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.04	21	-6	27	15.1	14.2	0.84	15.5	17.4	-1.92
Andre Miller	75	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.06	21	-6	27	15.0	14.6	0.42	15.4	17.5	-2.11
Samuel Dalembert	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	-1	17	14.9	14.9	0.03	14.9	18.3	-3.44
Andre Iguodala	75	74	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	1	13	13.9	18.9	-5.05	15.1	18.8	-3.64
Willie Green	50	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	5	5	15.0	14.9	0.10	16.2	15.6	0.62
Thaddeus Young	54	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	14	-13	14.9	14.9	-0.02	17.3	14.0	3.23
Lou Williams	48	49	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	20	-25	14.9	14.9	-0.04	16.0	15.8	0.18
Reggie Evans	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	15	-15	18.7	14.6	4.19	18.7	15.6	3.07
Marreese Speights	20	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	18	-21	16.1	14.6	1.57	19.6	15.0	4.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 58, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
IND 107, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
GSW 83, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%