NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	3.9 [1006]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +10.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	124		Comeback	1.0 [1161]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -6.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	61%	0.01	3	-0.01	8	87%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.07	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Travis Best	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	15	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	10	27%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	47%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	11	52%	0.03	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	24	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	12	100%	0.03
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.07	13	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	25	47%	0.00	1	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	6	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	9	39%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	35.0	18.8	28.2	2.6	27.2	139.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.3%

IND -7.1%

LAL +20.0%

LAL +7.5%

IND -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	13.2	14.6	15.5	103.9	119.2	100.9
season	15.9	15.6		99.3	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.6		101.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.9	13.3	12.5	14.1	13.2
LAL	14.3	12.9	15.2	16.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-22	27	14.0	13.0	1.02	16.3	14.2	2.05
Jermaine O'Neal	67	70	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-23	29	12.8	13.8	-1.01	15.0	13.9	1.18
Zan Tabak	3	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-14	11	15.0	13.1	1.88	7.0	14.9	-7.87
Al Harrington	67	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-16	15	13.6	12.4	1.25	14.7	14.6	0.11
Derrick McKey	23	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-10	3	13.9	13.0	0.95	15.0	14.5	0.42
Jonathan Bender	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-7	-3	13.1	13.3	-0.20	15.2	14.1	1.09
Travis Best	77	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-6	-5	13.4	12.5	0.90	15.1	13.4	1.62
Austin Croshere	72	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	1	-19	12.8	13.9	-1.09	14.7	14.5	0.17
Jalen Rose	65	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.16	-21	4	-25	12.8	13.9	-1.10	13.9	15.8	-1.88
Reggie Miller	68	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.18	-25	8	-33	13.1	13.4	-0.30	13.7	16.5	-2.80

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	81	82	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.39	34	-17	51	14.0	16.8	-2.75	13.4	12.3	1.06
Ron Harper	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.14	23	-6	29	14.2	15.5	-1.27	12.8	13.8	-0.97
Horace Grant	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.14	23	-6	29	14.5	14.9	-0.41	12.9	13.7	-0.78
Rick Fox	56	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.17	20	-3	23	13.8	15.7	-1.90	13.2	13.1	0.09
Shaquille O'Neal	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	1	15	14.6	14.8	-0.27	12.8	14.2	-1.40
Robert Horry	36	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	5	7	13.8	15.1	-1.33	14.9	12.2	2.64
Isaiah Rider	7	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	16	-15	19.1	14.3	4.82	13.0	13.2	-0.19
Greg Foster	24	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	21	-25	16.5	14.1	2.41	14.1	12.9	1.17
Mark Madsen	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.33	-11	28	-39	15.7	14.5	1.21	10.5	13.5	-3.05
Mike Penberthy	43	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	24	-31	15.3	14.2	1.04	13.4	13.0	0.33
Devean George	27	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.34	-13	30	-43	15.0	14.5	0.48	13.1	13.2	-0.07
Brian Shaw	29	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	26	-35	16.4	14.0	2.45	12.9	13.3	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
UTA 83, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIL 58, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%