NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	83		Excitement	3.0 [1179]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +9.7%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	1.3 [1049]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -12.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Maynor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	5	85%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	75%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	6	69%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	8	43%	-0.01	3	-0.00	14	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.20	0.01	-0.06	8	11%	-0.06	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	68%	0.10	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	7	86%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	64%	0.09	4	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	6	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	17	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	39%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.06	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.9	2.0	29.2	15.5	24.3	2.7	31.4	137.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.7%

UTA -2.9%

ATL +1.6%

ATL +20.7%

UTA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.2	15.3	83.0	95.0	106.0
season	15.3	16.0		109.5	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.0		106.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	16.0	15.9	10.7	14.5
ATL	13.2	14.0	12.9	16.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Maynor	55	57	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.50	23	-36	59	11.7	17.8	-6.11	16.4	11.3	5.10
Andrei Kirilenko	55	55	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.47	21	-34	55	11.7	17.8	-6.03	16.3	11.6	4.72
Kyle Korver	29	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-19	25	14.9	14.3	0.61	14.8	13.9	0.83
Ronnie Price	26	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.50	17	-30	47	10.7	15.8	-5.14	16.4	13.4	3.02
CJ Miles	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-12	11	13.6	14.9	-1.32	15.7	13.4	2.23
Kyrylo Fesenko	38	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.42	14	-27	41	10.9	16.6	-5.71	16.6	12.7	3.85
Paul Millsap	34	35	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	14.5	14.4	0.06	14.1	14.3	-0.22
Mehmet Okur	40	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.42	-26	13	-39	17.7	12.3	5.48	13.1	14.9	-1.74
Wesley Matthews	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	0	-13	14.6	14.3	0.22	13.4	15.0	-1.59
Carlos Boozer	51	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.30	-29	16	-45	17.0	11.8	5.22	11.6	16.7	-5.11
Ronnie Brewer	42	42	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.37	-32	19	-51	17.6	12.2	5.36	11.3	16.3	-4.99
Deron Williams	45	44	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	0.38	-36	23	-59	17.8	11.7	6.11	11.3	16.4	-5.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	55	54	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.44	36	-23	59	12.3	16.5	-4.19	17.4	11.1	6.29
Josh Smith	55	55	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.49	37	-24	61	12.3	16.5	-4.15	17.5	10.7	6.82
Joe Johnson	54	56	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.45	35	-22	57	12.3	16.4	-4.09	17.3	10.9	6.38
Mike Bibby	42	42	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.41	31	-18	49	11.6	16.1	-4.50	17.6	12.2	5.45
Marvin Williams	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	-8	29	13.5	15.2	-1.68	15.9	12.1	3.88
Jamal Crawford	70	68	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.50	-15	28	-43	15.5	11.2	4.29	12.6	18.4	-5.80
Randolph Morris	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	25	-37	16.0	13.7	2.34	9.4	15.8	-6.43
Othello Hunter	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	23	-33	17.5	13.6	3.84	9.7	15.2	-5.52
Jeff Teague	47	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.61	-24	37	-61	16.4	12.3	4.09	10.7	17.5	-6.82
Maurice Evans	53	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.51	-21	34	-55	16.5	11.6	4.90	11.5	17.5	-5.94
Zaza Pachulia	31	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.26	-13	26	-39	16.0	13.4	2.60	11.7	15.8	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 107, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ORL 67, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
ATL 91, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%