NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	83		Excitement	3.3 [1159]		MVP	Bob Sura (HOU): +12.7%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.0 [1248]		LVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): -13.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	20	56%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	5	29%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Luis Flores	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	11	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	6	14%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	16	31%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.01	10	80%	0.14	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	25	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	24.6	14.7	24.5	1.0	27.0	118.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.7%

HOU +3.9%

HOU +10.0%

GSW -3.0%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.5	86.5	104.2	104.0
season	15.0	16.0		102.3	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.2		100.6	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.0	14.1	15.2	17.4	15.9
HOU	12.3	14.1	14.2	16.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	40	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-21	25	16.4	15.5	0.91	15.5	13.2	2.29
Adonal Foyle	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	16.8	15.7	1.13	15.4	13.8	1.52
Dale Davis	28	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-16	15	16.0	15.9	0.15	15.4	13.5	1.93
Ansu Sesay	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-17	17	17.5	15.3	2.20	15.5	13.6	1.91
Calbert Cheaney	54	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-17	17	16.1	15.7	0.37	15.5	12.2	3.31
Luis Flores	37	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-9	1	17.0	15.2	1.80	14.7	13.8	0.89
Speedy Claxton	59	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-8	-1	15.2	17.0	-1.80	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Jason Richardson	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-1	-15	15.3	17.2	-1.85	13.5	15.5	-1.99
Mickael Pietrus	47	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	1	-19	15.7	16.1	-0.46	12.6	15.5	-2.95
Clifford Robinson	51	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	3	-23	15.5	16.3	-0.78	12.9	15.4	-2.48
Troy Murphy	56	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.07	-21	4	-25	15.5	16.4	-0.91	13.2	15.5	-2.29

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	66	67	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.09	22	-5	27	13.4	15.6	-2.18	15.5	16.7	-1.19
Jim Jackson	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-3	23	13.4	17.1	-3.74	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Tracy McGrady	79	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.22	25	-8	33	14.3	13.2	1.06	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Yao Ming	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	-2	21	12.7	16.6	-3.93	15.7	16.2	-0.43
Juwan Howard	53	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	7	3	14.3	13.9	0.36	16.3	15.3	1.05
Maurice Taylor	43	41	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	10	-3	13.9	14.3	-0.36	15.3	16.3	-1.05
Dikembe Mutombo	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	19	-21	16.6	12.7	3.93	16.2	15.7	0.43
Ryan Bowen	31	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	23	-29	15.6	13.4	2.18	16.3	15.7	0.64
Tyronn Lue	35	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.24	-10	27	-37	15.3	13.4	1.86	16.6	15.5	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, PHI 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ORL 87, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
ATL 83, CHH 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%