NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	3.1 [1135]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +13.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	1.2 [968]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -13.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	53%	0.01	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	6	35%	0.00	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	13	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	1	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Amaechi	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	39%	-0.06	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	15	39%	-0.05	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	20	70%	0.17	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	8	61%	0.08	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	14	53%	0.03	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	26.8	14.8	30.2	1.5	30.2	132.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +45.2%

MIL +4.3%

MIL +1.9%

MIL +1.1%

ORL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	15.2	87.0	103.0	101.7
season	13.6	14.9		100.4	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		105.1	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	18.9	11.7	10.9	13.4
MIL	14.5	14.7	16.0	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	43	43	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.22	9	-26	35	12.4	14.1	-1.68	16.4	14.4	2.00
Michael Doleac	17	18	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-19	21	16.1	12.9	3.20	14.9	15.3	-0.37
Derek Strong	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-13	9	10.1	13.8	-3.67	16.4	15.1	1.28
Chucky Atkins	49	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-21	25	11.9	14.8	-2.87	16.0	14.5	1.44
Corey Maggette	28	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-14	11	12.6	13.7	-1.15	15.5	15.2	0.33
Pat Garrity	44	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-19	21	13.9	13.0	0.91	15.6	14.9	0.69
Anthony Johnson	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-15	13	12.6	13.6	-1.04	16.8	14.8	1.95
Ron Mercer	55	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-2	-13	14.1	12.6	1.45	14.5	16.1	-1.59
John Amaechi	41	41	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	5	-27	14.0	13.0	0.98	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Ben Wallace	60	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.03	-17	0	-17	14.2	12.2	1.96	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Darrell Armstrong	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	-1	-15	13.5	13.1	0.45	14.9	16.1	-1.13
Bo Outlaw	58	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.12	-23	6	-29	13.5	13.3	0.16	14.7	16.1	-1.43

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	73	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-3	23	14.6	17.0	-2.47	13.6	13.0	0.56
Ray Allen	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	4	9	15.6	13.6	1.99	13.5	13.1	0.35
Ervin Johnson	43	43	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.13	19	-2	21	15.0	15.4	-0.47	14.0	12.9	1.13
Sam Cassell	74	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	3	11	14.9	16.1	-1.13	12.5	16.0	-3.46
Rafer Alston	58	56	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	12	-7	15.4	15.0	0.39	13.9	12.7	1.16
Darvin Ham	76	76	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	10	-3	16.2	12.4	3.78	12.8	15.3	-2.49
Tim Thomas	55	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	11	-5	15.0	15.6	-0.58	14.0	12.7	1.22
Scott Williams	36	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	12	-7	13.6	16.1	-2.50	15.3	12.5	2.84
Mirsad Turkcan	8	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	20.9	14.8	6.11	8.0	14.0	-6.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 83, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
ATL 83, CHH 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NOH 65, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%