NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	3.4 [894]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +19.4%
Phoenix Suns	125		Comeback	1.1 [1038]		LVP	Jonny Flynn (POR): -7.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	17	53%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	14	48%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	65%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	17	56%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	83%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Craig Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	16	52%	-0.02	3	-0.03	10	80%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.02	0.00	11	83%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	10	90%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	10	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.05	9	64%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	27.2	16.0	25.0	1.8	27.2	126.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.8%

PHX +6.7%

PHX +2.8%

PHX +2.9%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	13.9	15.6	112.6	131.6	102.8
season	15.7	15.0		104.1	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.3	16.9	16.3	13.3	16.4
PHX	13.5	11.9	13.7	16.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-16	14	11.8	17.4	-5.65	16.9	13.3	3.61
Hasheem Thabeet	26	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-18	18	14.8	17.0	-2.19	15.6	13.3	2.34
Jonny Flynn	49	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-14	10	17.0	15.7	1.28	13.0	14.8	-1.73
Joel Przybilla	20	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-10	2	19.2	15.6	3.61	11.4	14.6	-3.12
Nolan Smith	65	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-11	4	15.5	18.4	-2.87	14.3	13.1	1.22
Luke Babbitt	77	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-7	-4	16.2	17.3	-1.15	14.5	11.3	3.19
Jamal Crawford	73	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-8	-2	16.5	15.9	0.64	13.4	15.4	-2.00
JJ Hickson	72	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.12	-23	5	-28	17.4	13.4	3.97	13.1	16.5	-3.36
Wesley Matthews	76	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.13	-25	7	-32	16.8	14.9	1.88	14.1	13.0	1.13

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	58	56	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.10	24	-6	30	12.7	15.8	-3.10	18.2	13.8	4.42
Steve Nash	53	51	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.16	26	-8	34	12.8	15.4	-2.63	18.8	13.6	5.23
Jared Dudley	52	51	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.16	26	-8	34	12.6	15.5	-2.83	18.8	13.6	5.23
Shannon Brown	59	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-5	28	12.9	15.6	-2.64	17.8	14.2	3.58
Channing Frye	50	50	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	0	18	12.6	15.4	-2.74	17.5	15.2	2.32
Markieff Morris	45	45	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	18	-18	15.4	12.6	2.74	15.2	17.5	-2.32
Josh Childress	36	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	23	-28	15.6	12.9	2.64	14.2	17.8	-3.58
Michael Redd	43	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	26	-34	15.5	12.6	2.83	13.6	18.8	-5.23
Sebastian Telfair	42	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	26	-34	15.4	12.8	2.63	13.6	18.8	-5.23
Robin Lopez	37	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	24	-30	15.8	12.7	3.10	13.8	18.2	-4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 58, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DET 88, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAC 77, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%