NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	93		Excitement	3.3 [1086]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +9.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	110		Comeback	1.0 [1198]		LVP	Chris Mills (GSW): -4.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	75%	0.10	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	79%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	64%	0.03	2	-0.03	17	65%	-0.01
Dean Oliver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	11	46%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Chris Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	18	67%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	83%	0.12	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	17	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.08	12	46%	0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	57.3	2.6	24.2	16.7	28.5	2.0	24.0	155.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +27.5%

SEA +7.5%

SEA +9.7%

SEA +7.1%

GSW -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.6	103.3	122.2	102.3
season	14.7	16.0		100.7	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.1		103.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.8	15.3	16.5	14.3	16.0
SEA	17.4	17.4	13.0	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	51	52	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-22	27	15.0	17.2	-2.21	16.7	15.1	1.63
Dean Garrett	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	12.4	16.3	-3.82	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Dean Oliver	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	16.5	15.9	0.61	15.9	16.1	-0.16
Troy Murphy	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-21	25	15.3	16.4	-1.04	17.2	15.3	1.89
Adonal Foyle	49	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-14	11	16.2	15.7	0.46	15.9	16.2	-0.23
Bob Sura	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-12	7	15.6	16.4	-0.80	16.0	16.1	-0.09
Gilbert Arenas	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-3	-11	16.4	15.4	0.96	15.6	16.6	-1.04
Erick Dampier	22	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	0	-17	17.8	15.4	2.47	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Danny Fortson	63	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	1	-19	15.8	16.2	-0.38	15.7	16.9	-1.26
Antawn Jamison	61	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	2	-21	16.5	14.8	1.66	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Jason Richardson	55	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	1	-19	16.1	15.7	0.49	16.3	15.5	0.79

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	62	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.18	24	-7	31	15.4	17.6	-2.22	16.3	15.2	1.07
Brent Barry	73	74	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	1	15	16.0	16.4	-0.45	16.2	14.9	1.31
Predrag Drobnjak	50	51	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.11	21	-4	25	15.1	17.2	-2.17	16.5	15.3	1.14
Jerome James	28	29	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.12	21	-4	25	15.0	16.5	-1.46	17.2	15.4	1.85
Gary Payton	59	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-2	21	15.7	16.7	-1.01	16.6	14.8	1.73
Randy Livingston	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	17	-17	16.9	15.3	1.53	15.3	16.5	-1.26
Art Long	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	20	-23	16.5	15.8	0.68	16.2	15.8	0.38
Olumide Oyedeji	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	16.7	16.0	0.67	12.6	16.2	-3.55
Shammond Williams	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	15.0	16.1	-1.13	12.4	16.3	-3.82
Vin Baker	41	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	17.5	14.9	2.61	15.3	16.5	-1.14
Desmond Mason	56	55	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	22	-27	16.8	14.7	2.10	15.1	17.3	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, NOH 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
TOR 85, ORL 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
SEA 91, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%