NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	71		Excitement	5.0 [790]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +14.0%
Boston Celtics	78		Comeback	1.4 [452]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -15.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	15	76%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.04	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	7	12%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Shawn Kemp	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	9	46%	-0.04	5	-0.12	10	70%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dana Barros	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.11	10	35%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	53%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05
Reggie Hanson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.01	-0.05	19	39%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.01	-0.03	19	32%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	26.1	15.6	23.7	2.7	24.3	118.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.7%

CLE -0.6%

CLE -5.5%

BOS +20.1%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.6	81.6	89.7	102.5
season	15.4	15.1		99.4	100.2
opponent	15.1	16.0		103.0	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	16.1	20.2	15.6	16.6
BOS	17.1	18.1	15.0	15.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Thomas	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	16.0	16.7	-0.69	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Shawn Kemp	55	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-13	19	15.2	19.1	-3.96	16.9	15.8	1.05
Brevin Knight	58	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-12	17	15.8	18.2	-2.43	17.0	15.4	1.66
Cedric Henderson	51	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-8	9	15.3	18.5	-3.16	17.2	15.5	1.68
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-11	15	15.8	18.6	-2.84	17.0	15.1	1.91
Vitaly Potapenko	25	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	3	-13	18.6	15.8	2.72	15.0	17.1	-2.11
Derek Anderson	34	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	3	-13	18.2	15.6	2.55	16.3	16.6	-0.29
Bob Sura	32	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	4	-15	18.9	15.3	3.62	15.9	16.8	-0.90
Danny Ferry	33	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	7	-21	19.2	15.1	4.08	15.9	16.8	-0.91
Wesley Person	77	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	16.5	17.3	-0.77	16.2	19.2	-3.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	17.2	13.2	3.97	16.7	16.1	0.65
Ron Mercer	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	5	-3	16.9	14.4	2.53	16.0	19.5	-3.44
Walter McCarty	67	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	-3	13	16.4	16.7	-0.35	16.4	17.5	-1.11
Andrew DeClercq	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	2	3	15.3	17.1	-1.76	18.8	15.6	3.21
Dana Barros	62	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	5	-3	16.8	15.8	0.96	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Travis Knight	38	36	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	5	-3	16.1	16.8	-0.76	17.3	16.2	1.12
Tyus Edney	25	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	2	3	15.8	16.8	-0.96	17.1	16.4	0.70
Greg Minor	48	47	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	8	-9	16.9	15.9	1.01	16.9	16.3	0.64
Reggie Hanson	2	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	7	-7	11.5	16.6	-5.10	15.0	16.6	-1.64
Zan Tabak	19	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	6	-5	14.6	17.0	-2.37	14.4	17.3	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAL 106, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
GSW 90, NJN 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%