NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	90		Excitement	5.5 [706]		MVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): +13.1%
New Jersey Nets	110		Comeback	1.1 [955]		LVP	Jason Caffey (GSW): -15.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	21	57%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	15	60%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	13	32%	-0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	14	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
John Starks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	14	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.06	4	-0.09	10	50%	-0.06

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	9	82%	0.15	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	15	60%	0.12	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	15	68%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Jamie Feick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	54%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	16	34%	-0.08	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	31.2	14.5	23.1	1.6	27.2	122.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +30.5%

NJN +23.5%

NJN +1.1%

GSW -6.3%

NJN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NJN	NBA	GSW	NJN	NBA
this game	13.6	15.2	15.2	90.0	110.0	101.7
season	14.7	15.5		97.2	102.1
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	11.6	14.3	15.0	13.6
NJN	15.1	16.1	14.5	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Farmer	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	12.9	13.7	-0.80	13.1	15.4	-2.24
Adonal Foyle	33	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-21	22	13.2	13.8	-0.55	14.8	15.4	-0.51
Sam Jacobson	24	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	-14	8	12.9	13.8	-0.91	13.8	15.6	-1.77
Erick Dampier	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-9	-2	13.4	13.7	-0.23	14.9	15.3	-0.46
John Starks	65	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-19	18	13.6	13.6	0.02	15.9	13.9	2.01
Mark Davis	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.18	-16	-4	-12	13.3	13.8	-0.46	14.8	15.5	-0.74
Vonteego Cummings	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-5	-10	13.6	13.6	0.01	15.1	15.3	-0.15
Donyell Marshall	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-3	-14	14.1	12.8	1.23	15.3	15.0	0.30
Jason Caffey	37	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-9	-2	13.4	13.7	-0.37	15.2	15.2	0.04
Antawn Jamison	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-10	0	13.7	13.2	0.49	15.6	13.8	1.80
Mookie Blaylock	66	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	-5	-10	13.9	13.0	0.92	15.2	15.1	0.15

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	77	77	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	1	18	15.0	15.8	-0.77	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Johnny Newman	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	0	20	15.1	15.3	-0.16	13.7	13.6	0.11
Keith Van Horn	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	-1	22	14.0	16.8	-2.75	14.5	12.3	2.19
Jim McIlvaine	78	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.20	20	0	20	15.2	15.2	0.01	13.9	12.4	1.56
Kerry Kittles	84	84	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	5	10	15.1	15.7	-0.67	13.7	12.9	0.80
Scott Burrell	27	27	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	14	-8	16.4	14.7	1.72	13.4	13.7	-0.33
Kendall Gill	63	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	15	-10	15.4	14.8	0.56	13.4	14.0	-0.58
Evan Eschmeyer	10	9	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	18	-16	14.6	15.3	-0.66	13.2	13.6	-0.43
Elliot Perry	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	19	-18	15.8	15.0	0.77	14.0	13.5	0.51
Gheorghe Muresan	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	13.1	15.4	-2.24	11.7	13.8	-2.04
Jamie Feick	19	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	28	-36	18.1	14.5	3.60	10.7	14.3	-3.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 75, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHI 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
PHX 88, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%